Knight-Swift Transportation

KNX
Financial Analysis · Updated May 29, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$1.8B
Q1 2024 · +1% YoY
TTM ROIC
4.5%
FY2023 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (Net Working Capital + Net PP&E + Goodwill & Intangibles); NOPAT = Adjusted Operating Income × (1 – Effective Tax Rate) · WACC ~8.75% · Moat spread +-4.25pp
Margin Profile
Gross 40.4%
Operating 7.6%
FCF 2.1%
FY2023
Net Debt
$2.9B
Cash $350M · Debt $3.2B · FY2023
Diluted Shares
162M
FY2023 · +0% (dilution)

Business Overview


source: coverage-next-full ticker: KNX step: "01" title: Business Overview — Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings created: 2026-05-29

Step 01 — Business Overview

Company Summary

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE: KNX) is North America's largest full-truckload carrier by fleet size, with approximately 23,000+ tractors and 90,000+ trailers. Formed through the merger of Knight Transportation and Swift Transportation in September 2017, the company has since evolved from a pure-play TL operator into a diversified surface transportation platform spanning full-truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal, and logistics segments.

The defining strategic development of the 2020s for KNX is its aggressive entry into LTL freight through acquisitions — first AAA Cooper Transportation (2023) and then the purchase of Yellow Corporation's USF Holland and New Penn terminal networks (2023) for approximately $150 million in a bankruptcy auction. This LTL pivot gives KNX exposure to a structurally more attractive market segment with better pricing power and EBITDA margins than commoditized TL.

Business Segments

1. Truckload (Largest Segment, ~65–70% of Revenue)

The core heritage business, consisting of:

  • Dry Van TL: Long-haul and regional dry freight — commodities, retail goods, consumer staples
  • Temperature-Controlled (Refrigerated) TL: Food, pharma, and perishables under the Refrigerated division
  • Dedicated Contract Carriage: Private fleet outsourcing — fixed-cost contracts with specific customers (retail, manufacturing)
  • Swift segment: Operates under the Swift Transportation brand with its own terminal network
  • Knight segment: Operates under the Knight brand with its historically higher asset utilization model

KNX runs ~23,000 company-owned tractors and works with an independent contractor (IC) fleet as well. The TL segment is highly asset-intensive with a fleet replacement cycle of approximately 4–6 years.

2. LTL (Less-Than-Truckload, ~10–15% of Revenue post-acquisitions)

Entered via acquisition strategy in 2023:

  • AAA Cooper Transportation: Regional LTL carrier in southeastern/central US
  • USF Holland: National LTL network (acquired from Yellow bankruptcy)
  • New Penn Motor Express: Northeast US regional LTL (acquired from Yellow bankruptcy)

The LTL segment is structurally superior to TL — higher revenue per hundredweight, better pricing discipline, and a network-effect moat. KNX's LTL is subscale vs. ODFL/Saia/FedEx Freight but growing rapidly. The Yellow network acquisition added significant terminal infrastructure at low cost.

3. Logistics (~10–12% of Revenue)
  • Freight Brokerage: Non-asset or asset-light matching of shipper loads to carrier capacity
  • Managed Transportation: Third-party logistics (3PL) services, transportation management

Logistics provides a buffer during tight capacity markets and a variable cost structure that complements the asset-heavy TL base. Margins are lower than TL or LTL but capital-light.

4. Intermodal (~5–7% of Revenue)
  • Container-on-flatcar (COFC) service using rail network partnerships
  • Competes with JBHT (market leader) in intermodal
  • KNX's intermodal is subscale vs. JBHT's dominant position

Fleet & Infrastructure

Metric Approx. Value (2023)
Company Tractors (TL) ~18,000–19,000
Independent Contractor Tractors ~4,000–5,000
Total Trailers ~90,000+
LTL Service Centers ~100+ (post Yellow acquisitions)
Operating Terminals ~40+ (TL)
States Served (TL) 48 contiguous US

Geographic Mix

Predominantly domestic US freight. Mexico cross-border exposure is modest. Canada operations minimal. The LTL acquisitions skew toward regional/national US LTL corridors. KNX does not have meaningful international operations.

Customers & Revenue Mix

KNX serves a highly diversified customer base spanning retail (Walmart, Target, Amazon are likely among top customers), manufacturing, consumer packaged goods, food & beverage, and e-commerce. No single customer likely exceeds 10% of revenue. Contract freight (pricing set annually or bi-annually) represents the majority of TL revenues, with spot market exposure providing cyclical upside/downside.

Employees

Approximately 25,000–27,000 employees, predominantly professional drivers. Driver hiring, retention, and cost management are central operational challenges. The company's scale provides some advantage in driver recruiting (name recognition, equipment quality) but the driver shortage endemic to TL trucking remains a structural headwind.

Strategic Positioning

KNX's strategic transformation narrative is built on three pillars:

  1. LTL platform build — From zero to a national LTL network through M&A, aspiring to compete with ODFL/Saia over a 5–10 year horizon
  2. TL rationalization — Right-sizing the fleet during the freight downcycle, improving asset utilization, and defending OR (operating ratio)
  3. Technology investment — Driver-facing apps, load optimization, and freight tech to reduce empty miles and improve utilization

Financial Snapshot


source: coverage-next-full ticker: KNX step: "04" title: Financial Snapshot — 3-Year P&L Summary created: 2026-05-29

Step 04 — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary (FY2021–FY2023)

Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023
Total Revenue $5,026M $7,337M $7,044M
Fuel Surcharge Revenue ~$640M ~$1,200M ~$920M
Operating Revenue (ex-fuel surcharge) ~$4,386M ~$6,137M ~$6,124M
Cost of Transportation (variable) ~$2,900M ~$4,200M ~$4,200M
Gross Profit ~$2,126M ~$3,137M ~$2,844M
Gross Margin 42.3% 42.8% 40.4%
SG&A + D&A ~$1,650M ~$1,930M ~$2,307M
Operating Income ~$476M ~$1,207M ~$537M
Operating Margin 9.5% 16.5% 7.6%
Interest Expense ~$75M ~$95M ~$160M
Pre-tax Income ~$401M ~$1,112M ~$377M
Income Tax ~$100M ~$270M ~$90M
Effective Tax Rate 25.0% 24.3% 23.9%
Net Income (GAAP) ~$301M ~$842M ~$287M
Net Income (adjusted) ~$350M ~$900M ~$387M
Diluted Shares Outstanding ~162M ~162M ~162M
GAAP Diluted EPS ~$1.86 ~$5.20 ~$1.77
Adjusted Diluted EPS ~$2.16 ~$5.56 ~$2.39

Note: Adjusted figures exclude amortization of intangibles from acquisitions, certain one-time items. FY2022 was the peak earnings year.

Key Profitability Metrics

Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023
Operating Ratio (TL) ~88% ~82% ~92%
EBITDA ~$1,200M ~$1,850M ~$1,350M
EBITDA Margin 23.9% 25.2% 19.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin ~24% ~26% ~21%

Operating Ratio (OR) is the primary profitability metric in trucking — expenses divided by revenue (lower = better). KNX's OR worsened from ~82% at cycle peak to ~92% at cycle trough. Best-in-class TL carriers (Werner dedicated) can sustain ~88–89% OR through the cycle; ODFL maintains ~71% OR in LTL.

Operating Expense Detail (FY2023 Estimate)

Expense Category Amount % of Revenue
Salaries, Wages & Benefits (drivers + staff) ~$2,300M ~33%
Fuel (net of surcharge) ~$750M ~11%
Purchased Transportation (IC payments) ~$800M ~11%
Depreciation & Amortization ~$800M ~11%
Operating Supplies & Expenses ~$350M ~5%
Insurance & Claims ~$220M ~3%
SG&A (overhead) ~$290M ~4%
Other ~$850M ~12%
Total Expenses ~$6,507M ~92.4%

Driver wages represent the largest single cost bucket, followed by fuel. Insurance & claims have risen industry-wide due to nuclear verdicts in trucking litigation.

Segment Financial Summary (FY2023)

Segment Revenue Operating Income OR
Truckload ~$5,200M ~$390M ~92.5%
LTL ~$900M ~($10M) ~101%
Logistics ~$600M ~$60M ~90%
Intermodal ~$290M ~$20M ~93%
Corporate/Other N/A ~$77M loss N/A

LTL segment operating loss reflects integration costs, ramp-up period, and purchase accounting from Yellow acquisitions.

Balance Sheet Highlights (FY2023)

Item Amount
Cash & Equivalents ~$350M
Total Current Assets ~$1,400M
Net PP&E (tractors, trailers, terminals) ~$5,200M
Goodwill & Intangibles ~$4,800M
Total Assets ~$12,500M
Total Current Liabilities ~$1,100M
Long-term Debt ~$3,200M
Total Equity ~$6,500M
Book Value per Share ~$40

The goodwill/intangibles balance (~$4.8B) reflects the 2017 merger premium plus subsequent acquisitions. Tangible book value per share is materially lower than stated book value.

Cash Flow Statement (FY2023)

Item Amount
Operating Cash Flow ~$1,050M
CapEx (net of proceeds) ~($900M)
Free Cash Flow ~$150M
FCF Margin ~2.1%
Acquisitions ~($200M)
Share Repurchases ~($250M)
Dividends ~($80M)

FCF was suppressed in FY2023 by high CapEx (fleet replacement) even as earnings declined. The company continued returning capital via buybacks even during the downcycle, which some view as shareholder-friendly but others view as ill-timed given leverage.

Financial Health Assessment

Strengths:

  • Revenue scale provides operating leverage in a recovery
  • $350M cash + ample revolver availability
  • Operating cash flow remains solidly positive even at cycle trough

Weaknesses:

  • FCF yield is thin at cycle trough (~1–2% of market cap)
  • LTL integration costs pressuring near-term margins
  • Elevated debt load from acquisition activity
  • High D&A from asset-intensive model limits reported FCF vs. true economic earnings

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $KNX.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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