Lowe's Companies Inc.

LOW
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$20.6B
Q4 FY2025 · +11% YoY
TTM ROIC
19.5%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Net Invested Capital (Total Assets less non-interest-bearing current liabilities) · WACC ~8% · Moat spread +11.5pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: LOW step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) — Financial Snapshot

(Lowe's fiscal year ends in late January/early February; FY2025 = year ending ~Feb 2026.)

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY (FY25)
Net Sales $86.4B $83.7B $86.3B +3.1%
Comparable Sales -4.7% -2.7% +1–2% (turn to positive) inflection
Adjusted Operating Margin 13.4% 12.2% 12.1% ~flat
Operating Margin (GAAP) 13.2% 12.0% ~11.8% -20 bps
Adjusted EPS $13.20 $12.05 $12.28 +2%
GAAP EPS $13.20 $12.05 ~$11.85 -1.7%

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$9B
Capital Expenditures ~$2B
Free Cash Flow $7.7B
Dividends Paid $2.6B
Share Repurchases ~$3.5B+
Quarterly Dividend $1.20
Annual Dividend $4.80
Dividend Yield ~1.8%
Total Debt ~$36B
Net Debt / EBITDA ~2.5x

FY2026 Guidance

Metric 2026 Guide
Total Sales $92.0–94.0B (+7–9% incl. FBM + ADG full year)
Comparable Sales flat to +2%
Operating Margin (GAAP) 11.2–11.4% (compression vs. FY25 on FBM/ADG dilution)
Adjusted Operating Margin 11.6–11.8%
GAAP EPS $11.75–12.25
Adjusted EPS $12.25–12.75
Capex ~$2B+

(Adjusted figures exclude 40 bps margin + $0.50 EPS impact from FBM/ADG intangible amortization)

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~22x (FY26 adjusted EPS midpoint) | EV/EBITDA: ~16x | FCF Yield: ~5.0%
  • Revenue Growth (FY25): +3.1% | FCF Margin: ~9%
  • Adjusted Operating Margin: 12.1% (FY25); 11.7% (FY26 guide)
  • Dividend Yield: ~1.8%
  • Net Debt / EBITDA: ~2.5x

Growth Profile

FY25 marked positive comparable sales after two consecutive years of negative comps (FY23 -4.7%, FY24 -2.7%). Plus the company executed two major M&A deals — Foundation Building Materials (FBM) wholesale distribution + Artisan Design Group (ADG) flooring installation — adding ~$8B+ of run-rate revenue and explicitly targeting Home Depot's SRS playbook. FY26 guide:

  • Sales growth +7–9% (incl. FBM + ADG full year; underlying organic +1–2% comp).
  • Margin compression to 11.2–11.4% GAAP (FBM + ADG intangible amortization 40 bps drag; pre-spin-cost integration).
  • EPS roughly flat at midpoint despite revenue +7–9% (acquisition dilution).

The strategic story is catching up to Home Depot on Pro distribution + housing thaw optionality. If 2026 Fed rate cuts unfreeze housing turnover, Lowe's DIY-heavy mix could reaccelerate faster than Home Depot's Pro-heavy mix.

Forward Estimates

FY2026 Guide:

  • Sales: $92–94B
  • Adjusted EPS: $12.25–12.75

Bull case: Housing turnover reaccelerates with Fed rate cuts; comp sales hit +3–5% in FY27; FBM + ADG synergies build; Pro mix accelerates to 30%+; multiple expands to 25x P/E. Bear case: Frozen housing market persists; DIY weakness extends; FBM + ADG integration disappoints; margin compression continues through FY27. Consensus targets ~$280–300 vs. trading ~$260–280 (~5–10% upside).

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $LOW.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
GET /api/v1/research/LOW/fundamental$1.00 · Bearer token required
Markdown: /stocks/low/financials/md · → thesis · → memo