Nucor Corporation

NUE
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$9.5B
Q1 FY2026 · +21% YoY · Beat consensus by 7%
TTM ROIC
8%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital; NOPAT = Operating Income × (1 - 23% tax); Invested Capital = Net PP&E + Working Capital + Intangibles - Excess Cash · WACC ~9.5% · Moat spread +-1.5pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: NUE step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Nucor Corporation (NUE) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $41.51B $34.71B $30.73B -11.5%
Gross Margin ~30% ~22.5% ~13% -950bp
Operating Margin ~22% ~16% ~9.4% -660bp
Net Income $7.61B $4.52B $2.03B -55%
EPS (diluted) $28.79 $18.00 $8.46 -53%

FY2022 was a record-earnings year driven by peak HRC steel prices post-COVID. FY2023–2024 reflect a sharp steel price normalization cycle. FY2025 (actual): revenue ~$32.5B (+5.7%), with FCF near breakeven due to elevated growth capex ($3.4B). Q1 2026 EPS +264% YoY on earnings beat.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$2.8B
Free Cash Flow ~$823M
Capital Expenditures ~$2.0B (growth projects)
Cash & Equivalents ~$4.5B
Total Debt ~$5.5B

FY2025 FCF near break-even (~-$190M) due to peak capex spend of $3.4B on four major capacity expansion projects that completed in 2025. Capex drops to ~$2.5B in FY2026 as build cycle ends, unlocking FCF.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E (FY2026E): ~13x on $12.57 consensus EPS | EV/EBITDA: ~8–10x
  • Revenue Growth (FY2025): +5.7% | FCF Yield: inflecting sharply positive in 2026
  • Dividend: 51+ consecutive years of dividend payments; never cut dividend in company history

Growth Profile

Nucor's financials are highly cyclical, tied to steel pricing. From FY2022's record $7.6B net income (peak HRC prices post-COVID), earnings have compressed sharply through FY2024 as steel prices normalized. However, FY2025 marks the trough: four major capital projects (collectively adding ~$500M in incremental annual EBITDA) completed in 2025, and HRC prices stabilized. The FY2026 earnings recovery is expected to be sharp: consensus EPS of $12.57 (+63% YoY) driven by higher realized prices, a 5% increase in planned steel mill shipments, and capex dropping from $3.4B to $2.5B.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026 EPS consensus: ~$12.57 (+63% vs. ~$7.71 in FY2025)
  • FCF: swing from -$190M (FY2025) to $1.9B (FY2026), growing to $3.3B by FY2027
  • $4B share buyback authorization announced; aggressive repurchase expected in FY2026
  • 14 of 15 analysts rate Buy/Outperform; mean price target $188 (+15% upside)

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $NUE.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/nue/financials/md · → thesis · → memo