Republic Services Inc.

RSG
Financial Analysis · Updated May 18, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$4.1B
Q1 2026 · +2.6% YoY · Beat consensus by 3.7%
TTM ROIC
9.1%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (goodwill-inclusive); NOPAT = EBIT × (1 - 24% tax rate); Invested Capital = Total assets minus non-interest-bearing current liabilities · WACC ~7% · Moat spread +2.1pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: RSG step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Republic Services Inc. (RSG) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue ~$14.9B ~$14.9B $16.03B +7.1%
Gross Margin ~40% ~41% ~42% +1pp
Operating Margin ~17% ~18% ~19% +1pp
Net Income ~$1.5B ~$1.7B ~$1.8B +6%
EPS (diluted) ~$4.70 $5.47 ~$5.80 +6%

FY2025: Revenue $16.591B (+3.5% YoY); adj. FCF >$2.375B guidance for FY2025

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$3.2B
Free Cash Flow $2.128B (+5.6% vs. FY2023)
Adj. Free Cash Flow $2.18B
Cash & Equivalents ~$200M
Total Debt ~$13B

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~36x | EV/EBITDA: ~20x | FCF Yield: ~3.3%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2024): +7.1% | FCF Margin: ~13%

Growth Profile

Republic Services has compounded revenue at ~7% and FCF at 10% annually, driven by pricing (ahead of cost inflation), acquisitions ($1B/year deployed), and volume recovery. FY2024 was exceptional — 7.1% revenue growth, 12% EBITDA growth, 140bps margin expansion, and $2.13B in FCF. FY2025 growth moderated to ~3.5% amid construction/industrial volume softness. The company targets $19.3B revenue and $2.7B earnings by 2028.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026 revenue guidance: $17.05–17.15B (+3%)
  • FY2026 adj. FCF guidance: >$2.375B
  • FY2026 acquisitions planned: ~$1B
  • Analyst avg. price target: ~$245–270
  • Long-term target: $19.3B revenue, $2.7B earnings by 2028

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $RSG.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/rsg/financials/md · → thesis · → memo