Stanley Black & Decker Inc.

SWK
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$3.8B
Q1 FY2026 · -0.6% YoY
TTM ROIC
3.4%
FY2024 · Adjusted NOPAT (~$640M at 20% tax) / Average Invested Capital (~$18.8B); excludes restructuring charges · WACC ~7.5% · Moat spread +-4.1pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: SWK step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $16.95B $15.78B $15.37B -2.6%
Gross Margin ~29% ~28% ~30%
Operating Margin ~6% ~3% ~5%
Net Income (GAAP) ~$180M ~$(590M) ~$290M nm
EPS — GAAP ~$1.15 $(1.88) $1.89 nm
EPS — Adjusted ~$4.95 $1.45 $4.36 +200%

FY2022–FY2023 reflect the post-COVID tool demand hangover: SWK overbuilt inventory during the 2020–2021 tool boom and then faced demand normalization + supply chain cost inflation simultaneously, crushing margins. FY2023 GAAP net loss included large restructuring charges. FY2024 adjusted EPS recovery of 200%+ reflects $1.5B in cost savings realized from the restructuring program. FY2025 revenue $15.13B (-1.5%), continued margin recovery.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Free Cash Flow (FY2024) $753M
Free Cash Flow (FY2023) $853M
Cost Savings Achieved (inception to FY2024) ~$1.5B (of $2.0B target)
Remaining Savings Target ~$500M (by end of 2025)
Long-Term Debt ~$6.5–7B
Dividend Yield ~3.9% ($3.88/share annual)

SWK carries elevated debt (~$7B) from the Craftsman acquisition (2017) and MTD/Excel Industries acquisitions (2021) made at peak valuations. Annual interest expense ~$350–400M. The dividend at ~3.9% is at risk if adjusted earnings don't recover — current FCF covers it but GAAP earnings do not. Cost savings program must fully materialize to sustainably cover the dividend.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E (adj. FY2024): ~22x | EV/EBITDA: ~12–14x | FCF Yield: ~5%
  • Adjusted EPS Growth (FY2024 vs. FY2023): +200%
  • Gross Margin Target: 35%+ (current ~30%) — still 500bps of improvement needed
  • Adjusted EPS Forecast Growth: ~26% annually (analyst consensus)

Growth Profile

SWK is a restructuring story, not an organic growth story. Revenue has declined 2–3% annually as the post-COVID demand normalization continues and soft housing/DIY markets pressure Tools & Outdoor volumes. The growth driver is margin expansion from the $2B cost savings program — gross margin has recovered from trough (~27%) toward the 35%+ target. DEWALT mid-single-digit organic growth is the bright spot; Industrial (aerospace fastening +22%) is outperforming.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2025 Adjusted EPS: ~$5.50–$6.00 (consensus; ~26% growth trajectory)
  • FY2026 Adjusted EPS: ~$7.00–$8.00 (consensus; continuing cost savings + volume recovery)
  • Gross Margin Target: 35%+ by ~2026 (from ~30% today)

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $SWK.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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