The Travelers Companies Inc.

TRV
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$12.5B
Q1 FY26 · +8.7% YoY
TTM ROIC
25%
FY2025 · ROE (Net Income / Average Equity) · WACC ~10% · Moat spread +15pp

Financial Snapshot

ticker: TRV step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

The Travelers Companies (TRV) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY (25)
Revenue $36.9B $41.4B $46.4B $48.0B +3.5%
Net Written Premiums $35.4B $40.6B $43.4B $45.0B +3.7%
Combined Ratio 96.0% 97.0% 92.5% 90.3% -220bps
Underlying Combined Ratio 89.4% 89.5% 86.2% 85.5% -70bps
Cat Losses (pre-tax) $2.0B $3.0B $3.3B $4.2B +27%
Net Investment Income $2.7B $2.9B $3.6B $4.1B +14%
Net Income $2.84B $3.0B $5.0B $6.29B +26%
Diluted EPS $11.95 $13.05 $21.95 $28.30 +29%
Core ROE 11% 9.4% 17.2% 20%+

Note: FY2025 EPS includes $1.3B after-tax CA wildfires cat loss. Underlying CR 85.5% = record underwriting profitability. 2025 Q4 record $8.96 EPS.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$8.5B
Free Cash Flow ~$8.0B
Investment Portfolio ~$94B
Stockholders' Equity ~$28B
Book Value per Share ~$120
Adjusted Book Value ~$127

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~10x | P/B: ~2.4x | P/Adj Book Value: ~2.3x
  • Revenue Growth (TTM): +3.5% | Combined Ratio: 90.3%
  • Dividend Yield: ~1.7% | Dividend: $4.40/share
  • 22-year dividend growth track record
  • $4-5B annual buybacks

Growth Profile

P&C model: 7-10% net written premium growth + combined ratio improvement (85% target underlying) + investment income compounding (rate cycle benefit). 2026 plan assumes 7.8% cat load. AI Claim Assistant (Feb 2026 launch) drives loss adjustment expense efficiency. Net investment income growing 15%+ as portfolio rolls forward at higher yields.

Forward Estimates

  • FY 2026: Core EPS $27-30; underlying CR 85-86%; investment income $4.5B+
  • FY 2027: EPS $29-32 with AI claim efficiency + investment income compounding
  • 7.8% cat load assumption built into 2026 — bear case requires breach
  • ROE pathway: 17-20% sustainable through cycle

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $TRV.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/trv/financials/md · → thesis · → memo