Air Products and Chemicals Inc.

APD
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$3.2B
Q2 FY2026 · +9% YoY
TTM ROIC
9%
FY2025 · Adj Operating Income (NOPAT proxy) / Invested Capital (incl. in-process projects) · WACC ~8.25% · Moat spread +0.75pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: APD step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Air Products and Chemicals (APD) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026E
Revenue $12.6B $12.1B $12.0B $12.2-12.5B
Underlying Volume Growth flat -3% -4% +1-2%
Adj EBITDA $4.7B $5.0B $4.85B $5.15B+
Adj EBITDA Margin 37.0% 41.4% 40.4% 42%
Adj Diluted EPS $11.43 $12.43 $12.03 $13.00-13.50
GAAP Diluted EPS $9.40 $14.30 (gain on LNG) $9.50

Fiscal year ends September. FY25 sales -1% YoY (volumes -4% offset by pricing + energy pass-through). Adj EBITDA margin 40.4% impacted by lower volumes; expanding back to 42%+ under Menezes.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$3.5B
Capex ~$5B (declining as megaprojects complete)
Free Cash Flow ~-$1.5B (capex-heavy phase)
Cash & Equivalents ~$3.0B (+ $1.81B LNG sale proceeds)
Total Debt ~$18B
Net Debt/EBITDA ~3.0x (elevated due to hydrogen capex)

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~22x | EV/EBITDA: ~16x | FCF Yield: negative (capex-heavy)
  • Revenue Growth (TTM): -1% | Adj EBITDA Margin: 40.4%
  • Dividend Yield: ~2.5% | 42-year dividend growth (Dividend Aristocrat)
  • $1.81B LNG proceeds + future hydrogen monetization

Growth Profile

Menezes turnaround: pricing actions + productivity + capital discipline + new asset contributions. FY2026 guidance: 8-10% adj EPS growth at midpoint. NEOM green ammonia online end-2026. Yara talks on Louisiana ammonia + Saudi project ($8-9B Louisiana megaproject targeting 2030). Free cash flow recovers as capex normalizes.

Forward Estimates

  • FY 2026 (ending Sep 2026): Revenue $12.2-12.5B; adj EPS $13.00-13.50; volume recovery
  • FY 2027: Adj EPS $14-15 as NEOM ammonia production begins + Louisiana megaproject derisking
  • 42-year dividend growth (Dividend Aristocrat) with $7.16 annual dividend

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $APD.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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