Coinbase Global Inc.

COIN
Financial Analysis · Updated May 18, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$1.4B
Q1 2026
TTM ROIC
11%
FY2025 · Adjusted NOPAT / Invested Capital (ex-crypto mark-to-market, SBC, integration charges) · WACC ~14.2% · Moat spread +-3.2pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: COIN step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $3.194B $3.108B $6.564B +111%
Gross Margin ~80% ~64% ~75% recovering
Operating Income -$1.947B -$0.054B +$2.235B profitable
GAAP Net Income -$3.065B +$0.095B +$2.578B
Diluted EPS ~-$12.60 ~+$0.38 ~+$10.17

FY2025: Revenue $7.181B (+9.4% YoY); net income significantly positive. Subscription & services $2.9B (+24% YoY, 41% of revenue). Transaction revenue 59% of total. Q4 2025: Consumer spot trading -6% QoQ; Q1 2026 subscription guidance $550–630M (headwinds from lower rates + lower crypto prices). Operating expenses grew 35% YoY in FY2025 while revenue grew 9.7% — significant margin compression concern. S&P 500 added May 2025. Deribit acquisition $2.9B closed Aug 2025.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$3.5B
Free Cash Flow ~$3.0–3.5B
Cash & Equivalents ~$8–9B (corporate + crypto holdings)
Total Debt ~$4–5B (senior notes)
Assets Under Custody ~$330B+ (client crypto)

Coinbase holds Bitcoin on its balance sheet (conviction investment) alongside client crypto assets in custody. The $2.9B Deribit acquisition was primarily cash-funded. Balance sheet is strong but cash position reduced by Deribit. FCF strongly positive in FY2024 but compressed in FY2025 as opex grew 35%.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~20x (FY2024 GAAP, highly cyclical) | P/Sales: ~7x (FY2025)
  • Revenue Growth: +111% (FY2024), +9% (FY2025) — extreme cyclicality
  • Gross Margin: ~75% | Subscription & Services revenue: $2.9B (+24% YoY in FY2025)

Growth Profile

Coinbase's revenue swings dramatically with crypto market cycles: FY2021 peak ($7.84B), FY2022 crash (-59% to $3.19B), FY2023 flat ($3.11B), FY2024 doubling (+111% to $6.56B), FY2025 modest growth (+9%). The strategic narrative is transitioning from crypto exchange to diversified financial platform — the 41% subscription revenue share is structural de-risking that didn't exist at the 2021 peak. Deribit adds ~$100M+ in immediate revenue and positions Coinbase as the global #1 in crypto derivatives.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Revenue ~$7–9B (range depends heavily on crypto market); subscription & services ~$3.2–3.5B
  • Analyst median PT: ~$227 (range $120–$420); 48 analysts; 18 Buy / 12 Hold / 2 Sell
  • OCC national trust charter (conditional approval April 2026): unlocks institutional custody mandates
  • Base L2: growing developer ecosystem → CDP and staking revenue
  • "Everything exchange" equities + prediction markets: regulatory complexity but large TAM

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $COIN.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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