Cisco Systems Inc.

CSCO
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$15.8B
Q3 FY2026 · +12% YoY
TTM ROIC
33%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (excluding goodwill) · WACC ~7.7% · Moat spread +5.3pp
Margin Profile
Gross 66.5%
Operating 32%
FCF 23%
FY2025
Net Debt
$12.0B
Cash $18.0B · Debt $30.0B · FY2025

Business Overview


ticker: CSCO step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — Business Overview

Business Description

Cisco is the world's leading enterprise networking equipment company, providing routers, switches, wireless infrastructure, security software, observability platforms (post-Splunk acquisition), and collaboration tools. The $28B Splunk acquisition (closed March 2024) transformed Cisco into a comprehensive security + observability + networking platform. AI infrastructure orders crossed $2B in FY25 (vs. original $1B target) and are tracking to $5B+ in FY26 — re-establishing Cisco as a credible competitor in hyperscaler back-end networking with its Silicon One platform and N9000/8000 series.

Revenue Model

  • Networking (~65% of revenue): Switching, routing, wireless, AI infrastructure (Silicon One, Nexus, Catalyst)
  • Security (~15%): SecureX platform, firewalls, Talos threat intelligence, Identity Services Engine
  • Collaboration (~10%): Webex, Cisco IP phones, video endpoints
  • Observability (~5%, growing): Splunk + AppDynamics + ThousandEyes
  • Services (~5%): Technical support contracts, training, professional services
  • Increasing software subscription mix — Total ARR $31B (~55% recurring)

Products & Services

Networking
  • Catalyst 9000: Enterprise campus switches
  • Nexus 9000: Data center switches (N9000)
  • Cisco 8000 series: Service provider + hyperscaler routers
  • Silicon One: Cisco's custom AI networking silicon (G100/G200/G300 generations)
  • Meraki: Cloud-managed networking
  • Wireless: WiFi 6/7 access points
  • AI infrastructure systems: New rack-scale offerings for AI back-end fabrics
Security
  • Cisco SecureX: XDR platform
  • Cisco Umbrella: Cloud security (DNS-layer)
  • Duo: Zero-trust authentication
  • Talos: Threat intelligence
  • AI Defense (2026): AI-specific security platform
  • AgenticOps: Autonomous AI agents for network operations (Feb 2026 launch)
Collaboration
  • Webex: Video conferencing + messaging
  • Cisco IP phones, Video endpoints
Observability (Splunk-powered)
  • Splunk Enterprise + Splunk Cloud
  • AppDynamics: Application performance monitoring
  • ThousandEyes: Internet/network observability

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

  • Enterprises: Fortune 500 + middle-market via direct sales + channel partners
  • Service providers: Telco operators (AT&T, Verizon, BT, etc.)
  • Hyperscalers / Cloud Titans: Microsoft Azure, Meta, Google, Amazon — increasingly material for AI infrastructure
  • Public sector: Federal, state, local government
  • SMB: Via channel partners + Meraki direct
  • Channel: Largest enterprise IT channel (Cisco Gold/Premier partners)

Competitive Position

Cisco is the dominant enterprise networking vendor with ~50% campus switching share and #2 in data center switching (behind Arista in AI back-end). Moats: (1) installed base + customer switching costs (massive embedded base + certifications + processes), (2) channel ecosystem, (3) integrated platform across networking/security/observability via Splunk, (4) Silicon One for AI fabrics. Faces (1) Arista in high-end data center / AI back-end, (2) Juniper (HPE-owned) + white-box vendors in hyperscalers, (3) custom hyperscaler silicon (Google, Meta in-housing networking ASICs), (4) cloud-managed alternatives (HPE Aruba, etc.).

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1984 (Stanford couple Len Bosack + Sandy Lerner)
  • Headquarters: San Jose, CA
  • Employees: ~84,000
  • Exchange: NASDAQ
  • Sector / Industry: Technology / Communications Equipment + Software
  • Market Cap: ~$330B (May 2026)
  • CEO: Chuck Robbins (since 2015)
  • Dividend: $1.66 annual ($0.41 quarterly)
  • Major recent M&A: Splunk $28B (closed March 2024)
  • FY end: late July

Financial Snapshot


ticker: CSCO step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — Financial Snapshot

Note: Cisco's fiscal year ends late July. "FY2025" = fiscal year ended July 2025.

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2024 FY2025 FY2026E YoY
Revenue $53.8B $56.7B $61.2-61.7B +8-9%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin 67.5% 66.5% ~66% -0.5pp
Non-GAAP Operating Margin 33.0% 32.0% ~33% +1pp
Non-GAAP EPS (diluted) $3.73 $3.79 $4.13-4.17 +9-10%
GAAP Net Income $10.3B $11.5B ~$13B +13%

Segment Revenue Q2 FY26

Segment Revenue YoY
Networking $7.8B +14%
Security $2.0B (incl. Splunk)
Collaboration $1.1B flat
Observability $274M +24%
Total Revenue $15.3B +10%

AI Infrastructure Orders (Key Metric)

Period AI Orders
FY25 Total (vs. $1B target) >$2B
Q4 FY25 alone $800M+
Q2 FY26 alone $2.1B
FY26 guidance $5B+ orders (target)
FY26 AI revenue conversion ~$3B from hyperscalers

ARR + RPO Detail (Q2 FY26)

Metric Value YoY
Total ARR $31B +3%
Product ARR growing 6%
Total RPO $43.4B +5%
Product RPO +8%
Long-term portion RPO $11.8B +11%

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$13B
Capital Expenditures ~$1B
Free Cash Flow ~$12B
Cash & Investments ~$18B
Total Debt ~$30B (mostly Splunk-related)

Key Ratios (approximate, May 2026)

  • P/E (forward): ~20x | EV/EBITDA: ~13x | Dividend Yield: ~2.0%
  • Net Cash: ~($12B) net debt
  • FCF Yield: ~3.6%

Growth Profile

Cisco accelerated from low-single-digit revenue growth (FY23-24) to +9% guided for FY26 — primarily driven by AI infrastructure orders. AI orders went from $2B FY25 (2x original target) to $5B+ guided FY26. Q2 FY26 product revenue grew +14% YoY. The Splunk integration is ~2 years post-close, adding 500 new logos in H1 FY26 (tracking to 1,000 by FY26 end). Margin headwind from AI infrastructure mix (lower-margin systems) offset by Splunk + recurring revenue scaling.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026E Revenue: $61.2-61.7B (mgmt guide; +8-9%)
  • FY2026E Non-GAAP EPS: $4.13-4.17 (mgmt guide)
  • FY2027E Revenue: ~$67B (consensus, +9%)
  • FY2027E EPS: ~$4.65 (+12%)
  • AI orders trajectory: $5B (FY26) → $8-10B (FY27)?

Capital Return

  • Dividend $1.66 annual (~$6.5B paid)
  • Buybacks: ~$5-7B annual ($15B authorization)
  • Total return: ~3-4% combined yield
  • 14+ consecutive years of dividend growth

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $CSCO.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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