Coterra Energy Inc.

CTRA
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2

Financial Snapshot


ticker: CTRA step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue ~$9.0B $5.91B $5.46B -7.7%
Gross Margin N/A (E&P) N/A N/A
Operating Margin ~30%+ ~20% ~22%
Net Income ~$3.5B ~$1.6B ~$1.1B -31%
EPS (diluted) $5.08 $2.13 $1.50 -29.6%

Revenue declines driven by commodity price normalization: natural gas prices fell sharply from 2022 highs (Henry Hub from $6.50/MMBtu peak to $2-3/MMBtu range in 2023-2024). GAAP EPS is depressed by mark-to-market derivative losses; adjusted EPS is meaningfully higher. TTM revenue (including January 2025 Delaware acquisitions) approaches $7.6B.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$2.5B
Free Cash Flow (non-GAAP) ~$1.0B
Capital Expenditures ~$1.5B
Cash & Equivalents ~$500M
Total Debt ~$4.5B (elevated post-January 2025 $3.95B acquisition)

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~20x (GAAP) | EV/EBITDA: ~6x | FCF Yield: ~5%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2024): -7.7% | FCF Margin: ~18% of revenue
  • Dividend Yield: ~3.2% (base $0.88/year + variable distributions)

Growth Profile

FY2022 was a peak commodity price year; FY2023-2024 reflect normalization of natural gas prices. The January 2025 Delaware Basin acquisitions ($3.95B) add meaningful oil production scale — management guided 2025 oil volumes up ~47% YoY and total BOE production +9% at the midpoint. This shifts Coterra's mix toward oil, partially reducing sensitivity to weak natural gas pricing. FCF is expected to rebound significantly in 2026 with higher volumes and potentially recovering gas prices.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2025: Production guidance of 720,000-760,000 BOE/day; oil +47% YoY; capex ~$2.3B
  • FY2026: Analysts project $2B+ in free cash flow if commodity prices cooperate; capex guidance "modestly down" from 2025; consensus price target ~$34
  • Total shareholder returns: 50%+ of annual FCF ($635M dividends + $451M buybacks = 89% of 2024 FCF)

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $CTRA.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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