The Kroger Co.

KR
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$34.7B
Q4 FY2026 · +1.2% YoY
TTM ROIC
14.8%
FY2026 · NOPAT / Average Invested Capital; NOPAT = Adj. FIFO Operating Profit × (1 - 23% tax rate); Invested Capital = Total Assets - Excess Cash - Non-interest-bearing Current Liabilities · WACC ~8% · Moat spread +6pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: KR step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

The Kroger Co. (KR) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $137.9B $148.3B $147.1B -0.8%
Gross Margin ~21.5% ~21.8% ~22.3% +0.5pp
Operating Margin ~2.1% ~2.0% ~2.0% flat
Net Income ~$2.2B ~$2.2B ~$1.8B -18%
EPS (diluted) ~$3.01 ~$3.05 ~$2.60 -15%

FY2024 net income/EPS includes costs related to the Albertsons merger termination. FY2025: Revenue ~$146–147B (slight decline from specialty pharmacy divestiture Oct 2024); gross margin ~22.7–22.9% (+0.5pp from pharmacy exit and private label mix); operating margin ~2.6%; FCF ~$1.8B. FY2025 gross margin improvement driven by pharmacy business divestiture (lower-margin), better shrink/supply chain, and continued Our Brands mix shift.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$4.5B
Free Cash Flow ~$1.8B (-38% YoY due to higher capex)
FCF Margin ~1.2%
Cash & Equivalents ~$0.5B
Total Debt ~$13B
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA ~1.73x (well within 2.3–2.5x target)

Key Ratios (approximate, FY2025)

  • P/E: ~17–19x | EV/EBITDA: ~8–9x | FCF Yield: ~3.5–4%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2025): ~flat to -1% (specialty pharmacy divestiture headwind)
  • Gross Margin: ~22.7% | Operating Margin: ~2.6%
  • Dividend Yield: ~2.5% | Buyback: $2.9B remaining authorization

Growth Profile

Kroger is a low-growth, high-stability business with margin expansion as the primary earnings driver. Revenue is essentially flat (grocery comps +1–2% underlying, offset by fuel price volatility and divestitures). The investment thesis rests on: (1) Our Brands mix shift adding ~30–50 bps of gross margin per year; (2) precision marketing (retail media) scaling from $500M to $1B+ operating profit contribution; (3) e-commerce profitability inflection (targeted by 2026); and (4) capital return via $2.9B buyback authorization. Identical sales without fuel (the key comp metric) have been 1–3% in recent quarters.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Identical sales without fuel growth ~2–3%; adjusted EPS $4.60–$4.80 (consensus); operating margin ~2.5–2.8%; FCF $2.0–2.2B as CFC restructuring reduces capex
  • Precision marketing: Target $1B+ operating profit contribution by 2027–2028 — transforms Kroger's earnings quality
  • E-commerce: Targeted profitability by end of FY2026 via in-store fulfillment shift and CFC closures
  • Dividend: ~$0.98/share annual; ~2.4% yield; ~5% annual growth history

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $KR.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/kr/financials/md · → thesis · → memo