The Kroger Co.

KR
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$34.7B
Q4 FY2026 · +1.2% YoY
TTM ROIC
14.8%
FY2026 · NOPAT / Average Invested Capital; NOPAT = Adj. FIFO Operating Profit × (1 - 23% tax rate); Invested Capital = Total Assets - Excess Cash - Non-interest-bearing Current Liabilities · WACC ~8% · Moat spread +6pp
Margin Profile
Gross 23.3%
Operating 3.4%
FCF 1.2%
FY2026
Net Debt
$12.5B
Cash $500M · Debt $13.0B · FY2025
Diluted Shares
613M
Q1 2026 · -16% (buyback)

Business Overview


ticker: KR step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

The Kroger Co. (KR) — Business Overview

Business Description

Kroger is the largest pure-play supermarket chain in the United States, operating ~2,731 supermarkets across 35 states and the District of Columbia under banners including Kroger, Ralphs, Fred Meyer, King Soopers, Harris Teeter, and Fry's. Founded in 1883 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Kroger serves over 11 million customers daily and generates ~$147B in annual revenue. After a proposed $25B merger with Albertsons was blocked by the FTC in 2024, Kroger refocused on standalone strategy: growing private label, profitabilizing e-commerce, and accelerating its retail media/precision marketing business.

Revenue Model

Kroger generates revenue primarily through retail grocery sales (~95%+), supplemented by rapidly growing alternative profit businesses. Key revenue streams: (1) Retail Sales: groceries, fresh produce, meat/seafood, bakery, deli, and general merchandise across ~2,731 stores; (2) Our Brands (private label): >$32B in annual sales (~22% of total), generating significantly higher margins than national brands — brands include Kroger®, Private Selection®, Simple Truth®, and Murray's Cheese; (3) Fuel Centers: 1,702 fuel centers leveraging the Kroger Plus loyalty program; (4) Digital/E-commerce: $13B+ digital sales in FY2024 (+10% YoY), fulfillment through Customer Fulfillment Centers (CFCs) and in-store pickup; (5) Precision Marketing (KPM): retail media advertising platform leveraging first-party transaction data from 11M+ daily customers — $527M estimated revenue in FY2024, contributing $1.35B in alternative profit business operating profit.

Products & Services

  • Grocery/Fresh: Full-service supermarkets with produce, meat, seafood, bakery, deli, floral
  • Our Brands: 30%+ of sales; Private Selection (premium), Kroger (national brand equivalent), Simple Truth (organic/natural), Home Chef (meal kits)
  • Pharmacy: One of the largest U.S. pharmacy chains; immunizations, health screenings (specialty pharmacy sold to PharMerica in Oct 2024)
  • Fuel Centers: Kroger Plus Points redeemable for fuel discounts
  • Kroger Precision Marketing: First-party retail media network (CPG advertising, targeted promotions)
  • ClickList / Delivery: Curbside pickup and home delivery powered by CFCs and in-store fulfillment

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

Kroger serves a broad middle-income American consumer base across suburban and urban markets. The Kroger Plus loyalty card captures purchase data from the vast majority of transactions, enabling highly targeted precision marketing and private label upsell. Kroger is shifting its e-commerce fulfillment toward in-store picking and closing three underperforming Customer Fulfillment Centers as it targets e-commerce profitability by 2026.

Competitive Position

Kroger holds ~10% U.S. grocery market share — #2 overall behind Walmart (~24%) but #1 in pure-play grocery. The competitive moat rests on: (1) the Our Brands private label program (~30% of sales, ~300 bps higher margin than national brands); (2) Kroger Plus loyalty program with 60M+ households creating a proprietary first-party data advantage; (3) Kroger Precision Marketing monetizing that data at scale; and (4) scale efficiencies in fresh, pharmacy, and fuel. Competition is intense from Walmart, Costco, Amazon Fresh, Aldi, Lidl, and regional grocers.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1883
  • Headquarters: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Employees: ~420,000
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Sector / Industry: Consumer Staples / Food & Drug Retail
  • Fiscal Year End: Late January/early February
  • Market Cap: ~$45–50B

Financial Snapshot


ticker: KR step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

The Kroger Co. (KR) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $137.9B $148.3B $147.1B -0.8%
Gross Margin ~21.5% ~21.8% ~22.3% +0.5pp
Operating Margin ~2.1% ~2.0% ~2.0% flat
Net Income ~$2.2B ~$2.2B ~$1.8B -18%
EPS (diluted) ~$3.01 ~$3.05 ~$2.60 -15%

FY2024 net income/EPS includes costs related to the Albertsons merger termination. FY2025: Revenue ~$146–147B (slight decline from specialty pharmacy divestiture Oct 2024); gross margin ~22.7–22.9% (+0.5pp from pharmacy exit and private label mix); operating margin ~2.6%; FCF ~$1.8B. FY2025 gross margin improvement driven by pharmacy business divestiture (lower-margin), better shrink/supply chain, and continued Our Brands mix shift.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$4.5B
Free Cash Flow ~$1.8B (-38% YoY due to higher capex)
FCF Margin ~1.2%
Cash & Equivalents ~$0.5B
Total Debt ~$13B
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA ~1.73x (well within 2.3–2.5x target)

Key Ratios (approximate, FY2025)

  • P/E: ~17–19x | EV/EBITDA: ~8–9x | FCF Yield: ~3.5–4%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2025): ~flat to -1% (specialty pharmacy divestiture headwind)
  • Gross Margin: ~22.7% | Operating Margin: ~2.6%
  • Dividend Yield: ~2.5% | Buyback: $2.9B remaining authorization

Growth Profile

Kroger is a low-growth, high-stability business with margin expansion as the primary earnings driver. Revenue is essentially flat (grocery comps +1–2% underlying, offset by fuel price volatility and divestitures). The investment thesis rests on: (1) Our Brands mix shift adding ~30–50 bps of gross margin per year; (2) precision marketing (retail media) scaling from $500M to $1B+ operating profit contribution; (3) e-commerce profitability inflection (targeted by 2026); and (4) capital return via $2.9B buyback authorization. Identical sales without fuel (the key comp metric) have been 1–3% in recent quarters.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Identical sales without fuel growth ~2–3%; adjusted EPS $4.60–$4.80 (consensus); operating margin ~2.5–2.8%; FCF $2.0–2.2B as CFC restructuring reduces capex
  • Precision marketing: Target $1B+ operating profit contribution by 2027–2028 — transforms Kroger's earnings quality
  • E-commerce: Targeted profitability by end of FY2026 via in-store fulfillment shift and CFC closures
  • Dividend: ~$0.98/share annual; ~2.4% yield; ~5% annual growth history

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $KR.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/kr/financials/md · → thesis · → memo