Eli Lilly and Company

LLY
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$19.8B
Q1 FY2026 · +56% YoY
TTM ROIC
21%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (incl. goodwill); NOPAT = EBIT × (1-0.21) · WACC ~8.5% · Moat spread +13pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: LLY step: 04 generated: 2026-05-11 source: quick-research

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY (25v24)
Revenue $28.5B $34.1B $45.0B $65.2B +44.7%
Gross Margin ~75% ~80% ~81% ~83% +200 bps
Operating Margin 23% 17% 32% ~39% +700 bps
Net Income $6.2B $5.2B $10.6B ~$22B +108%
EPS (diluted) $6.90 $5.80 $11.71 ~$24.50 +109%

Note: FY2023 net income / margin compressed due to large in-process R&D writedowns from the Versanis and POINT Biopharma acquisitions; FY2024 expanded materially as those one-time charges rolled off and tirzepatide ramped.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$15B
Capex ~$11B (heavy manufacturing buildout)
Free Cash Flow ~$4B (constrained by capex)
Cash & Investments ~$5B
Total Debt ~$33B
Net Debt ~+$28B

Key Ratios (approximate, May 2026)

  • P/E: ~28x | EV/EBITDA: ~25x | FCF Yield: ~0.7% (suppressed by capex)
  • Revenue Growth (TTM): ~45% | Gross Margin: ~83% | Operating Margin: ~39%
  • Capex / Revenue: ~17% — Lilly is in the steepest manufacturing build cycle in big-pharma history

Growth Profile

Lilly has gone from ~$28B in revenue in 2022 to ~$65B in 2025 — a roughly 2.3x expansion in three years, almost entirely driven by the tirzepatide franchise (Mounjaro + Zepbound combined run-rate >$45B by end of 2025). The constraint has been supply, not demand: Lilly produced 1.6x more salable doses in H1 2025 vs. H1 2024. Operating leverage is now compounding meaningfully — gross margin remains in the low-80s and operating margin has expanded from 17% (2023, depressed by IPR&D charges) to ~39% (2025). Free cash flow is structurally suppressed by the $50B+ multi-year US manufacturing capex program.

Forward Estimates

2026 guidance (issued Feb 2026): Revenue $80–83B (+25% YoY). Consensus FY2026 EPS: ~$31. Bull-side scenarios pencil in 2027 revenue >$100B if orforglipron (oral GLP-1) launches strongly in H2 2026 and Zepbound DTC volumes ramp. Bear-side scenarios bake in MFN pricing pressure on US obesity prices, slower-than-expected payer expansion, and 2030+ generic erosion of tirzepatide.

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $LLY.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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