Lockheed Martin Corporation

LMT
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$18.0B
Q1 2026 · -1.7% YoY · Missed consensus by 2.2%
TTM ROIC
20.5%
FY2025 · Adj. Net Income / Gross Invested Capital (Equity + Long-Term Debt); also computed ex. customer advances for adjusted ROIC · WACC ~7.6% · Moat spread +13.4pp
Margin Profile
Gross 11%
Operating 9.2%
FCF 9.2%
FY2025
Net Debt
$17.5B
Cash $2.5B · Debt $20.0B · FY2025
Diluted Shares
230M
FY2025

Business Overview


ticker: LMT step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — Business Overview

Business Description

Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor by revenue ($75B FY25), the sole-source manufacturer of the F-35 Lightning II (the largest defense program in history), and a top supplier of missiles, missile defense, space systems, and military helicopters (Sikorsky). The company operates across four segments — Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. Driven by surging global defense demand (Ukraine, Israel, Pacific deterrence, NATO commitments) + the Trump administration's proposed $1.5T defense budget by 2027 (vs. $901B in 2026), Lockheed finished 2025 with a record $194B backlog — among the highest sustained defense backlogs in industry history.

Revenue Model

Four reportable segments (FY25 revenue):

  • Aeronautics (~$30B, 40%) — F-35 Lightning II ($20B run-rate), F-22 sustainment, C-130J Super Hercules, F-16 Block 70, Skunk Works classified programs.
  • Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) (~$13B, ~17%) — PAC-3 (Patriot interceptors), THAAD, JASSM, LRASM, HIMARS, Precision Strike Missile (PrSM), Long Range Standoff Weapon (LRSO), HELIOS laser systems.
  • Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) (~$18B, ~24%) — Sikorsky Black Hawk + CH-53K King Stallion helicopters, Aegis Combat System (Navy), littoral combat ship, advanced electronics, integrated air & missile defense.
  • Space (~$13B, ~18%) — Government space (classified + civil), Trident II D5 LE ballistic missiles, missile defense interceptors, satellite constellations, classified programs.

Revenue is overwhelmingly long-cycle (multi-year cost-plus + fixed-price). US Department of Defense + Foreign Military Sales together ~95% of customer base.

Products & Services

  • F-35 Lightning II: 5th-gen multi-role fighter; sole producer for US + 17 partner/customer nations. 156 aircraft/yr production rate target. 850+ delivered to date; lifetime production ~3,500 aircraft.
  • F-22 Raptor + sustainment: Out of production; sustainment + upgrades through 2030s.
  • C-130J Super Hercules: Tactical airlift; multi-decade program.
  • F-16 Block 70/72: Production line in Greenville, SC for export customers.
  • PAC-3 MSE (Patriot): Capacity ramping from 620/yr to 2,000/yr by 2027. Critical for Ukraine + Israel + Pacific air defense.
  • THAAD: Theater High-Altitude Area Defense; multi-decade missile defense program.
  • JASSM / LRASM: Air-launched cruise + anti-ship missiles. Production ramping.
  • Trident II D5 Life Extension: Navy submarine-launched ICBM modernization; $10B+ contracted work.
  • Sikorsky Black Hawk + CH-53K: Military helicopters; ongoing production + sustainment.
  • Aegis Combat System: Navy combat management + ballistic missile defense.
  • NGI / NGAD components: Sub-contractor on next-generation programs.
  • Classified Skunk Works programs: 6th-gen fighter, drones, autonomy, hypersonics.

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

  • US Department of Defense (~75% of revenue): All military services + DARPA + Missile Defense Agency.
  • Foreign Military Sales (~25%): F-35 international (UK, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Israel, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Finland, Switzerland, Belgium, Denmark, Canada, Singapore, Poland, Germany, Romania, Greece, etc.); F-16 (Bahrain, Bulgaria, Taiwan, Slovakia, Turkey); PAC-3 international.
  • NASA: Various space programs (Orion crew capsule sub-contract).
  • Commercial: Smaller; international space + classified.

Distribution: Direct US government contracts; foreign military sales via US Government channels.

Competitive Position

Lockheed Martin is the dominant US defense prime with structural advantages:

  1. F-35 sole-source program — World's most advanced 5th-gen fighter; only Lockheed produces it. ~$1.5T+ lifetime program value across production + sustainment + upgrades through 2080.
  2. Record $194B backlog — Multi-year revenue visibility; book-to-bill consistently >1.0x.
  3. Trump $1.5T defense budget by 2027 — Lockheed is largest single beneficiary.
  4. PAC-3 production capacity ramping 3x (620 → 2,000/yr) — Long-duration framework agreements; multi-billion incremental annual revenue.
  5. Sikorsky helicopter franchise — Black Hawk + CH-53K + commercial; multi-decade revenue streams.
  6. Skunk Works classified programs — Pipeline of 6th-gen fighter, drones, autonomy, hypersonics that aren't visible in current backlog.

Competitive challenges vs. peers:

  • Boeing Defense — F-15EX + KC-46 + apache; recovering from execution issues; F-35 substitution risk minimal.
  • RTX (Raytheon) — Direct competitor in missiles (PAC-3 partner via Raytheon's Patriot system); Pratt & Whitney F-35 engine.
  • General Dynamics — Naval + ground vehicles + IT services.
  • Northrop Grumman — B-21 + Sentinel + space competition.
  • NGAD program — Lost Air Force NGAD prime award to Boeing (2024); could pressure Lockheed's long-term fighter dominance. However, Lockheed is competing on Navy F/A-XX + classified programs.

Active risks:

  • NGAD loss to Boeing — multi-decade fighter franchise risk.
  • F-35 cost overruns — fixed-price LRIP contracts create margin pressure.
  • F-35 sustainment cost criticism — Block 3 → Block 4 upgrade delays.
  • Aerojet Rocketdyne acquisition blocked by FTC in 2022 (was $4.4B).

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1995 (Lockheed-Martin Marietta merger); Lockheed dates to 1912
  • Headquarters: Bethesda, Maryland
  • Employees: ~122,000
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Sector / Industry: Industrials / Aerospace & Defense
  • Market Cap: ~$120B
  • FY2024 Revenue: $71.0B
  • FY2025 Revenue: $75.0B (+5.6%)
  • FY2025 Q4 Revenue: $20.3B (+9% YoY)
  • Backlog: $194B record
  • 2026 Revenue Guide: $77.5–80B (+5% organic)
  • 2026 Segment Operating Profit Growth: +25%+
  • 2026 EPS Guide: $29.35–30.25
  • 2026 Free Cash Flow Guide: $6.5–6.8B
  • F-35 Production Rate: 156/yr
  • PAC-3 Capacity Target: 2,000/yr by 2027 (up from 620)
  • Dividend Yield: ~2.8%
  • CEO: Jim Taiclet (since 2020)

Financial Snapshot


ticker: LMT step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY (FY25)
Revenue $67.6B $71.0B $75.05B +5.6%
Q4 Revenue (FY25) $18.6B $20.3B +9%
Segment Operating Margin 11.0% 9.8% (FY24 charges) ~11% recovery +120 bps
Diluted EPS $27.55 $22.31 ~$27 recovery from FY24 charges

Segment Detail (FY2025 approximate)

Segment FY25 Revenue YoY
Aeronautics ~$30B mid-single-digit
Missiles and Fire Control ~$13B strong growth (PAC-3 + JASSM ramp)
Rotary and Mission Systems ~$18B mid-single-digit
Space ~$13B mid-single-digit

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$8B
Capital Expenditures ~$1.7B
Free Cash Flow ~$6.3B
Share Repurchases ~$3B
Dividends Paid ~$3.1B
Quarterly Dividend $3.45
Annual Dividend $13.80
Dividend Yield ~2.8%
Cash & Marketable Securities ~$2.5B
Total Debt ~$20B
Backlog (FY25 End) $194B (record)

FY2026 Guidance

Metric 2026 Guide
Revenue $77.5–80.0B (+5% organic)
Segment Operating Profit Growth +25%+ YoY (recovery from FY24 charges)
Diluted EPS $29.35–30.25
Free Cash Flow $6.5–6.8B
F-35 Production Rate 156 aircraft/yr
MFC Sales Growth +14% (midpoint)

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~16x (FY26 EPS midpoint $29.80) | EV/EBITDA: ~11x | FCF Yield: ~5.5%
  • Revenue Growth (FY25): +5.6%
  • Segment Operating Margin: ~11% (recovering)
  • Dividend Yield: ~2.8% | Buyback Yield: ~2.5%
  • Backlog: $194B (multi-year revenue visibility)
  • Book/Bill Ratio: ~1.1x

Growth Profile

FY25 was a record year operationally:

  • Revenue +5.6% to $75B
  • Record $194B backlog (+6% YoY)
  • Q4 revenue +9% to $20.3B accelerating
  • FY26 guide implies continued ~5% organic growth + +25% operating profit recovery from FY24 charges

The 2026-2028 setup:

  • 2026: PAC-3 capacity ramp + Skunk Works classified + Trident II D5 LE production + F-35 stable
  • 2027: Trump defense budget acceleration; MFC capacity additions
  • 2028: Full PAC-3 capacity at 2,000/yr; F-35 sustainment expanding; classified programs maturing

CEO Jim Taiclet has positioned Lockheed as the digital backbone of 21st-century warfighting — combining sensor + missile + platform + classified programs into the most comprehensive defense portfolio.

Forward Estimates

FY2026 Guide:

  • Revenue: $77.5–80B (+5% organic)
  • Adjusted EPS: $29.35–30.25 (+8–11%)
  • Free Cash Flow: $6.5–6.8B
  • Segment Operating Profit Growth: +25%+

Bull case: Trump $1.5T defense budget materializes; PAC-3 capacity ramps faster than 2027; Foreign Military Sales accelerate; FY27 revenue +8% with margins expanding to 12%+; EPS reaches $34+; multiple expands to 19x P/E; stock could reach $670+. Bear case: F-35 cost overruns intensify; NGAD pivot to Boeing accelerates; PAC-3 ramp delays; multiple compresses to 14x; stock stays $420-450. Consensus targets ~$580–640 vs. trading ~$485–510 (~15–25% implied upside).

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $LMT.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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