Lincoln National Corporation

LNC
Financial Analysis · Updated May 18, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
TTM ROIC
12.5%
FY2025 · Adjusted Operating Income / Book Equity ex-AOCI · WACC ~9.5% · Moat spread +3pp
Margin Profile
Operating 8.5%
FY2025
Diluted Shares
188M
FY2025

Business Overview


ticker: LNC step: 01 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) — Business Overview

Business Description

Lincoln National Corporation (brand: Lincoln Financial) is a US life insurance and financial services holding company operating through four segments: Annuities, Life Insurance, Group Protection (employer benefits), and Retirement Plan Services. The company went through a severe crisis in 2022–2023 (large reserve charges on legacy variable annuity guarantees, COVID-related mortality losses) and has been executing a turnaround under CEO Ellen Cooper — shifting business mix toward capital-light, spread-based products and restructuring legacy liabilities. FY2025 adjusted operating EPS was $8.23/share; Annuities reported record $175B ending account balances and full-year sales of $4.9B (+33%). RBC ratio above 420%.

Revenue Model

Four revenue streams: (1) Annuity net revenue — spreads on fixed indexed annuities (FIA), registered index-linked annuities (RILA), variable annuity fees; shifting from VA guarantee fees toward capital-efficient spread products. (2) Life insurance premiums and fees — group and individual life; protection-focused products increasingly emphasized. (3) Net investment income — general account portfolio earnings on $100B+ invested assets; rate-sensitive. (4) Retirement plan services fees — 401(k) recordkeeping and administration fees. The strategic pivot is increasing the proportion of spread/protection revenue (stable) vs. legacy variable annuity guarantee exposure (volatile, capital-intensive).

Products & Services

  • Fixed Indexed Annuities (FIA) — growth product tied to equity index without direct downside; spread-based; growing
  • Registered Index-Linked Annuities (RILA) — newer product: buffer against partial losses while participating in equity upside; capital-efficient
  • Variable Annuities (legacy) — traditional VA with guaranteed income riders; legacy book being managed down; source of prior reserve charges
  • Term Life — simple, affordable individual term life; capital-light
  • Universal Life — flexible premium permanent life; includes problematic legacy policies with secondary guarantees
  • Group Life & Disability — employer-sponsored group protection
  • Dental & Vision — newer voluntary benefit lines
  • Retirement Plan Services — 401(k), 403(b) recordkeeping for employers

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

Individual consumers (annuities, individual life) through independent financial advisors, broker-dealers, and wirehouse platforms. Employers (group protection, retirement plans) through benefit brokers and consultants. Annuity distribution is primarily through independent financial advisors and registered investment advisors who use FIA/RILA to provide retirement income floor for clients.

Competitive Position

Lincoln competes with Nationwide, Protective Life, Athene (Apollo), Corebridge (AIG), and Pacific Life in annuities; with MetLife, Hartford, and Unum in group protection. The turnaround story and Bain Capital partnership (to optimize legacy liabilities) differentiates Lincoln from peers who don't have an active legacy restructuring program. RILA market leadership positions Lincoln well as financial advisors increasingly recommend buffer annuities over traditional VAs.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1905 (Fort Wayne, Indiana; now Radnor, PA)
  • Headquarters: Radnor, Pennsylvania
  • Employees: ~10,000
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Sector / Industry: Financials / Life Insurance & Annuities
  • Market Cap: ~$6–8B

Financial Snapshot


ticker: LNC step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary (GAAP revenue is volatile for insurance; adjusted operating metrics more relevant)

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue (GAAP) ~$17B $11.71B $17.98B +53.6%
Note Crisis year Recovery GAAP gains
Adj. Op. EPS ~$7.64
Adj. Op. Income (FY2025) $1.54B

FY2025: Adjusted operating income $1.54B ($8.23/share); strong recovery. Annuities: record $175B ending account balances; $4.9B sales (+33%); highest in 5 years. Q3 2025: GAAP EPS $2.12 vs. ($3.29) in Q3 2024. Q4 2024: Record operating income quarter; annuity deposits +32%; RBC ratio above 420%. 2022 was a severe crisis year (large reserve charges on legacy VA guarantees + COVID excess mortality). FY2023–2025: recovery execution under CEO Ellen Cooper. $2B unsecured credit facility extended March 2026 (through 2031).

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet

Metric Value
Annuity Account Balances $175B (record; FY2025)
RBC Ratio 420%+ (strong capital position)
Credit Facility $2B (March 2026; unsecured; through 2031)
Legacy VA Liability Under active restructuring (Bain partnership)
Adj. Operating EPS (FY2025) $8.23/share

Lincoln's capital position (420%+ RBC) has recovered significantly from the 2022 nadir. The Bain Capital partnership to optimize legacy captive reinsurance subsidiaries and VA liabilities is reducing the capital drag from the old book. As the legacy back-book is managed down, the capital released can be redeployed into growth products (FIA, RILA) at better risk-adjusted returns.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~4–5x (adj. operating EPS $8.23 at ~$35 stock price) — extremely cheap on adjusted basis
  • P/E (GAAP): variable (GAAP EPS swings dramatically with VA mark-to-market)
  • Revenue Growth: volatile (GAAP); adj. operating income more stable
  • RBC: 420%+ (well-capitalized)

Growth Profile

Lincoln is a turnaround story: from near-crisis in 2022 to record adjusted operating income in FY2025. The business mix shift (away from legacy VA with guarantees → toward FIA/RILA/protection life) is reducing capital requirements, improving earnings quality, and enabling the annuity franchise to grow without the same balance sheet burden. Annuity sales at 5-year highs (+33%) confirm that the distribution partners are embracing the new product suite.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Adj. operating EPS guidance not explicitly stated; street estimates ~$8–9/share
  • Analyst consensus PT: $43.50 (24 analysts; range $39–$60)
  • 3 Buy, 8 Hold, 2 Sell — cautious consensus
  • 25%+ implied upside to PT from ~$35 current
  • Key variable: Legacy VA liability management + NII headwinds

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $LNC.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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