O'Reilly Automotive Inc.

ORLY
Financial Analysis · Updated May 12, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$4.6B
Q1 2026 · +8% YoY · Beat consensus by 9%
TTM ROIC
33%
FY2024 · NOPAT / Economic Invested Capital (Net debt + adjusted equity adding back cumulative buybacks) · WACC ~7% · Moat spread +26pp
Margin Profile
Gross 51%
Operating 20%
FCF 9%
FY2025
Net Debt
$5.5B
Cash $300M · Debt $5.8B · FY2025
Diluted Shares
829M
FY2025 · -5.3% (buyback)

Business Overview


ticker: ORLY step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) — Business Overview

Business Description

O'Reilly Automotive is the second-largest US automotive aftermarket parts retailer (behind AutoZone) and the only top-tier player that has consistently executed both DIY (Do-It-Yourself) and DIFM (Do-It-For-Me; professional installer / mechanic) customer segments at scale. Sales mix in FY2024 was approximately 52% DIY + 48% DIFM. The company's "dual-market strategy" — refined over 45+ years — is the structural moat: serving both consumer + professional customers with a single hub-and-spoke distribution network. As of mid-2025, O'Reilly operates 6,483 stores across 48 US states + Puerto Rico + Mexico + Canada, targeting 225-235 net new openings in 2026 + accelerating international expansion.

Revenue Model

Single reportable segment (automotive parts retail):

  • Retail Stores — Counter sales for DIY consumers and professional accounts.
  • Hub Network — ~385 hub stores holding up to 45,000 unique SKUs each, enabling rapid delivery to satellite stores.
  • Distribution Centers — ~30 regional DCs, multi-daily replenishment.
  • Geographic Expansion — Mexico, Canada presence; further international expansion in 2026+.

Revenue is overwhelmingly single-channel retail — stores serve walk-in DIY + commercial delivery to repair shops. Revenue mix ~52% DIY / 48% DIFM at consolidated level; trending toward DIFM majority over multi-year.

Products & Services

  • Hard parts: Brake pads, rotors, calipers, alternators, starters, water pumps, fuel pumps, ignition (~50% of revenue, highest margin).
  • Maintenance items: Oil, oil filters, air filters, batteries, wiper blades (~30%).
  • Accessories: Floor mats, car wash supplies, automotive electronics (~10%).
  • Tools + paint + body: Hand tools, power tools, paint/auto body (~10%).
  • Services: Battery testing/charging, oil recycling, code reading, vehicle electrical diagnostic; mostly free + traffic-driving.
  • Commercial programs: First Call (delivery to pro accounts), Specialty Catalog, Specialty Accounts, Race & Performance.
  • Inventory: ~150,000 SKUs at each hub; 45,000+ deep inventory; rare-parts access within hours.

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

  • DIY customers: ~150M+ vehicle-owning households; price-sensitive; aging fleet drives demand.
  • Professional installers (DIFM): ~500,000+ independent repair shops + tire stores + service stations + auto dealers.
  • Race & Performance: Specialty performance accounts.
  • Commercial Fleets: Fleet operators with multi-vehicle accounts.

Distribution: Direct retail (6,483 stores); B2B commercial delivery; emerging e-commerce; growing international (Mexico Vesta + Canada).

Competitive Position

O'Reilly Automotive competes in a structurally attractive aftermarket parts retail market with two key competitors and several specialty/regional players:

Competitor Stores DIY/DIFM Mix
AutoZone (AZO) ~7,300 US ~80% DIY / 20% DIFM
O'Reilly (ORLY) ~6,483 ~52% DIY / 48% DIFM
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) ~4,400 US Mixed; struggling
Genuine Parts Co (GPC) ~6,400 NAPA Mostly DIFM
Pep Boys, Carquest, others smaller mixed

Structural advantages:

  1. Only dual-market scale player — AutoZone is too DIY-tilted; Advance Auto is fading; GPC NAPA is mostly DIFM. O'Reilly's dual mix provides resilience across cycles.
  2. Hub-and-spoke distribution — ~30 DCs + 385 hub stores enables fastest DIFM delivery (multiple daily) — critical when mechanics' time = money.
  3. 45+ year DIFM relationships — Counter sales team + professional accounts manager dedicated to repair shops; deep technical knowledge.
  4. Operating margin ~21% — Best in industry; reflects DIFM mix economics + scale + execution.
  5. Strong same-store sales growth — Q1 2026 +8.1% comps (DIY mid-single-digit + DIFM double-digit); industry-leading.
  6. Aging vehicle fleet tailwind — US avg vehicle age ~12.6 years; demand for replacement parts compounds.
  7. International expansion (Mexico + Canada) — Multi-decade growth runway.

Competitive challenges:

  • AutoZone aggressive DIFM push — AZO targeting DIFM market with Mega Hubs + IMC commercial.
  • Amazon + e-commerce — DIY shifting online; ORLY's bricks-and-mortar model adapting with omnichannel.
  • Carvana, used-car prices — Higher used-car prices keep aging vehicles on the road longer (positive for ORLY).
  • EV transition long-tail — EVs require fewer parts than ICE vehicles; long-tail revenue headwind.
  • Tariff exposure — Auto parts imported from China + Mexico face tariff escalation.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1957
  • Headquarters: Springfield, Missouri
  • Employees: ~92,000
  • Exchange: NASDAQ
  • Sector / Industry: Consumer Discretionary / Specialty Retail
  • Market Cap: ~$80B
  • FY2024 Revenue: $16.71B
  • FY2025 Revenue: ~$17.8B
  • FY2026 Revenue Guide: $18.7–19.0B (+5–7%)
  • FY2026 EPS Guide: $3.15–3.25 (~+13% — note stock split: 15-to-1 in 2025)
  • Q1 2026 Comp Sales: +8.1%
  • Store Count: 6,483 (mid-2025)
  • 2026 Net New Store Openings: 225–235
  • Operating Margin: ~21%
  • DIY / DIFM Mix: ~52% / 48%
  • Dividend: None (Capital return via buybacks)
  • Note: ORLY stock split 15-to-1 in June 2025

Financial Snapshot


ticker: ORLY step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) — Financial Snapshot

(Note: ORLY executed a 15-for-1 stock split in June 2025; FY24 + FY25 per-share metrics post-split adjusted.)

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY (FY25)
Revenue $15.81B $16.71B ~$17.8B +6.5%
Comparable Sales +7.9% +2.9% ~+5% recovery
Gross Margin 51.1% 51.2% ~51.0% flat
Operating Margin 20.5% 19.8% ~20.0% flat
Net Income ~$2.35B ~$2.39B ~$2.65B +11%
Diluted EPS (post-split adj) $2.55 $2.66 $3.00 (estimated) +13%

Q1 2026 Results

Metric Q1 2026
Revenue $4.56B
Comparable Store Sales +8.1%
Operating Income $842M (+14%)
Diluted EPS +16% YoY
Professional DIFM Growth double-digit
DIY Growth mid-single digit

FY2026 Guidance (Updated)

Metric 2026 Guide
Revenue $18.7–19.0B (+5–7%)
Comparable Store Sales mid-single digit
Diluted EPS $3.15–3.25
Net New Store Openings 225–235 (vs. 200–210 in 2025)
Free Cash Flow $2.5–2.8B (estimated)

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$3.0B
Capital Expenditures ~$0.9B
Free Cash Flow ~$2.0–2.4B
Share Repurchases ~$2.5–3.0B (aggressive buyback program)
Dividend NONE (buyback-only return)
Cash & Marketable Securities ~$0.3B
Total Debt ~$5.8B
Net Debt / EBITDA ~1.0x

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~33x (FY26E EPS midpoint) | EV/EBITDA: ~22x | FCF Yield: ~3%
  • Revenue Growth (FY25): +6.5%
  • Same-Store Sales Growth: Q1 2026 +8.1% (industry-leading)
  • Operating Margin: ~20% (best-in-class)
  • ROIC: ~40%+ (high asset turnover + capital efficiency)
  • Dividend: None (Capital return through buybacks only)
  • Net Debt / EBITDA: ~1.0x

Growth Profile

FY25 / Q1 2026 confirmed O'Reilly's industry-leading execution:

  • Revenue +6.5% to $17.8B
  • Q1 2026 comp sales +8.1% (substantial outperformance vs. AAP weakness + AZO mid-single-digit)
  • Professional DIFM double-digit growth
  • DIY mid-single-digit growth
  • 14% operating income growth

The 2026 setup:

  • $18.7–19B revenue + +13% EPS growth at midpoint
  • 225-235 net new stores (~3.6% unit growth)
  • International expansion (Mexico Vesta + Canada) ramping
  • Aggressive buyback continues; capital return entirely through repurchases

The structural thesis remains intact: aging vehicle fleet + dual-market execution + share gains from struggling competitors (AAP) = multi-year mid-single-digit comp + 13–15% EPS growth.

Forward Estimates

FY2026 Guide:

  • Revenue: $18.7–19.0B
  • Diluted EPS: $3.15–3.25 (~+13%)
  • Comp Sales: mid-single-digit

Bull case: Comp sales sustained at +7–8% on AAP share donation + DIFM acceleration; international expansion accelerates; multiple expands to 35x P/E; stock could reach $120+. Bear case: DIY softens further; tariffs compress gross margin; competitor AutoZone DIFM push successful; multiple compresses to 28x P/E. Consensus targets $115–125 vs. trading ~$100–110 (~10–20% implied upside).

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $ORLY.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
GET /api/v1/research/ORLY/fundamental$1.00 · Bearer token required
Markdown: /stocks/orly/financials/md · → thesis · → memo