Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

PNW
Financial Analysis · Updated May 18, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$1.1B
Q1 2026 · +1% YoY
Margin Profile
Operating 28%
FY2025
Net Debt
$7.3B
Cash $200M · Debt $7.5B · FY2024
Diluted Shares
121M
FY2025

Business Overview


ticker: PNW step: 01 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) — Business Overview

Business Description

Pinnacle West Capital is an Arizona-based electric utility holding company whose principal subsidiary, Arizona Public Service (APS), generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 1.4 million customers across Arizona — roughly two-thirds of the Phoenix metropolitan area plus Flagstaff, Prescott, Yuma, and other regions. APS is a regulated monopoly operating under oversight from the Arizona Corporation Commission, earning returns on a growing capital base driven by Arizona population growth, industrial expansion, and a surging data center/AI load pipeline of nearly 20 GW in interconnection requests.

Revenue Model

APS earns regulated returns on invested capital through rate cases approved by the Arizona Corporation Commission. Revenue is tariff-based across residential, commercial, industrial, and large-load customer classes. The company is executing a $10.35B capital program from 2025–2028 (plus $6B+ in transmission through 2035) that drives compounding rate base growth. A 2025 APS rate case filing seeks $694M in additional revenue, a 10.70% allowed ROE, and a proposed Formula Rate Adjustment Mechanism to reduce regulatory lag.

Products & Services

  • Electric generation — nuclear (Palo Verde, nation's largest by output), gas peakers, solar, wind, and coal retirement in progress (Cholla closed March 2025)
  • Transmission and distribution — high-voltage grid and local delivery network in APS service territory
  • Retail electric service — residential, commercial, industrial, and large-load (data center) customers
  • Renewable energy — growing solar and storage portfolio under Arizona's clean energy transition

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

APS serves ~1.4 million retail customers in captive regulated territories, with 2.4% customer growth driven by Arizona's population and economic expansion. The emerging high-growth segment is data centers and AI infrastructure: a backlog of nearly 20 GW in uncommitted interconnection requests represents transformational load potential. 2026 sales growth guidance of 4–6% — with long-term guidance raised to 5–7% through 2030 — reflects this data center tailwind.

Competitive Position

Pinnacle West is a regulated monopoly in APS's service territory with no direct utility competition. Arizona's rapid population growth, business-friendly climate, and land availability are structural tailwinds. The Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station (APS holds ~29.1% ownership) provides carbon-free baseload power and significant long-term asset value. Key competitive constraint: regulatory risk from the Arizona Corporation Commission on rate cases.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1985 (holding company; APS traces to 1886)
  • Headquarters: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Employees: ~6,200
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Sector / Industry: Utilities / Electric Utilities
  • Market Cap: ~$9B (at ~$80/share, ~112M shares)

Financial Snapshot


ticker: PNW step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $4.32B $4.70B $5.13B +9.1%
Operating Margin ~16% ~16% ~18% +2pp
Net Income $484M $502M $609M +21.3%
EPS (diluted) $4.26 $4.41 $5.24 +18.8%

FY2025: TTM revenue ~$5.31B; guidance raised to $4.90–$5.10 adj. EPS (note: lower than FY2024 GAAP due to non-recurring items)

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$1.1B
Free Cash Flow -$575M (heavy capex cycle)
Capital Expenditures ~$1.7B
Cash & Equivalents ~$200M
Total Debt ~$7.5B

Note: Negative FCF is standard during high-capex rate base build; funded via debt and equity issuances.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~17x (adj.) | EV/EBITDA: ~11x | Dividend Yield: ~4.0%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2024): +9.1% | Customer Growth: ~2.4% annually

Growth Profile

Revenue has grown ~9% annually from 2022–2024, driven by Arizona customer growth, rate base expansion, and favorable rate case outcomes. FY2024 EPS of $5.24 significantly beat the prior year on higher revenue and improved operational efficiency. The 2025 APS rate case filing (seeking $694M in additional revenue) is the key near-term earnings catalyst. Long-term load growth guidance raised to 5–7% annually through 2030 on AI/data center demand.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2025 adj. EPS guidance: $4.90–$5.10 (raised from initial range after strong Q3 2025)
  • FY2026 sales growth: 4–6% weather-normalized
  • Long-term sales growth: 5–7% through 2030 (data center + population)
  • Capital program 2025–2028: $10.35B (APS); $6B+ transmission through 2035
  • 2025 rate case revenue ask: $694M total / $611M net increase
  • Interconnection backlog: ~20 GW uncommitted load requests

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $PNW.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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