Constellation Brands Inc.

STZ
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$1.9B
Q4 FY2026 · -11.3% YoY
TTM ROIC
11.3%
FY2026 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (Equity + Net Debt); NOPAT = Operating Income × (1 - 0.23) · WACC ~6.25% · Moat spread +4.8pp
Margin Profile
Gross 51.6%
Operating 29.8%
FCF 19.6%
FY2026
Net Debt
$10.5B
Cash $300M · Debt $10.8B · FY2026 (Feb 28, 2026)

Business Overview


ticker: STZ step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) — Business Overview

Business Description

Constellation Brands is the third-largest beer company in the U.S. and the #1 importer of beer from Mexico, owning the U.S. rights to Modelo Especial, Corona Extra, and Pacifico — three of the most recognized beer brands in the country. Modelo Especial is the #1 selling beer brand in the United States by dollar sales, having surpassed Bud Light in 2023. The company also produces wine and spirits, though it has been actively divesting mainstream wine brands (SVEDKA spirits, Woodbridge, Meiomi) to focus on its high-margin beer business. Constellation's beer supply chain is anchored in Mexico: it owns and operates large-scale breweries in Nava, Obregon, and (under construction) Veracruz, with ~48M hectoliter capacity as of FY2025. Note: Constellation's fiscal year ends February 28/29.

Revenue Model

Constellation generates revenue through three segments: (1) Beer (~91% of revenue, FY2026): Corona, Modelo Especial, Pacifico, Victoria — sold through U.S. wholesale/distributor network to retail and on-premise; (2) Wine (~8%): Robert Mondavi, Kim Crawford, Meiomi (being divested), Prisoner Wine Company (premium); (3) Spirits (~1%): High West Whiskey, Casa Noble Tequila (SVEDKA divested). Beer revenue is generated through a three-tier distribution system (Constellation → distributors → retailers/bars), with pricing power driven by brand equity and premium positioning.

Products & Services

  • Beer (Mexican Imports): Modelo Especial (#1 U.S. beer), Corona Extra, Corona Light, Corona Premier, Pacifico, Victoria, Modelo Chelada
  • Beer (Craft/Domestic): Funky Buddha (Florida craft), Ruffino (sparkling water)
  • Wine (Premium): Kim Crawford, The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, Meiomi, Schrader Cellars
  • Spirits: High West Whiskey, Casa Noble Tequila (SVEDKA sold in FY2025)
  • Divesting: Woodbridge, Meiomi, other mainstream wine brands — April 2025 divestiture announcement

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

Constellation sells through U.S. wholesale beer distributors (three-tier distribution mandated by state alcohol law). Primary retail customers include Walmart, Sam's Club, Total Wine, and major grocery chains. Beer is sold in both off-premise (supermarkets, package stores, ~89% of beer volume) and on-premise (bars, restaurants, ~11%) channels. The core consumer base is heavily Hispanic American (roughly ~50% of beer volume comes from Hispanic consumers) with strong and growing crossover to broader mainstream demographics. Market reach: 50 states; ~500,000 new points of distribution targeted over 5 years.

Competitive Position

Constellation holds a near-monopoly position in U.S. Mexican beer imports under a perpetual, royalty-free license from Grupo Modelo (AB InBev owns Modelo globally but sold U.S. rights to Constellation as a DOJ condition in the ABI/Grupo Modelo merger in 2013). This license is irrevocable — one of the most valuable brand assets in U.S. consumer goods. Competitors in the premium import category include Heineken (Dos Equis, Tecate), Pernod Ricard, and Diageo, none of which have Modelo's cultural resonance or market share in the U.S. Hispanic market. The main long-term threats are category-level (GLP-1, cannabis, health trends) rather than competitive.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1945 (originally Canandaigua Industries)
  • Headquarters: Victor, New York
  • Employees: ~10,000
  • Exchange: NYSE (Class A: STZ; Class B: STZB)
  • Sector / Industry: Consumer Staples / Brewers
  • Market Cap: ~$18–22B (stock down ~35% from 2024 highs due to tariff and consumer headwinds)

Financial Snapshot


ticker: STZ step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Note: Constellation fiscal year ends February 28/29. FY2024 = March 2023–Feb 2024; FY2025 = March 2024–Feb 2025.

Metric FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 YoY
Revenue $9.45B $9.96B $10.21B +2.5%
Gross Margin ~51% ~52% ~52% flat
Operating Margin ~29% ~31% ~32% +100bps
Net Income (GAAP) ~$2.1B ~$2.3B ~$(0.1B)*
Comparable EPS ~$11.20 ~$12.90 $13.78 +7%

FY2025 GAAP net income negative due to $3B+ non-cash goodwill impairment charges on the Wine & Spirits segment. Comparable (adjusted) EPS of $13.78 reflects strong underlying beer business performance.

FY2026 (ended Feb 2026): Revenue $9.14B (-10.5%, reflecting wine divestitures); Comparable EPS guidance $11.30–$11.60 (declining from tariffs and Hispanic consumer volume weakness).

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$2.4B
Free Cash Flow $1.97B
FCF Margin ~19%
Cash & Equivalents ~$0.3B
Total Debt ~$11.5B
Net Debt / EBITDA ~3.5x

Key Ratios (approximate, based on FY2025)

  • P/E (comparable): ~13–15x | FCF Yield: ~8–9% at current market cap
  • EV/EBITDA: ~11x | Dividend Yield: ~2.5%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2025): +2.5% | Beer segment: ~+5–6% organic
  • Leverage: ~3.5x net debt/EBITDA (elevated due to Mexico brewery expansion capex)

Growth Profile

Constellation's beer business delivered consistent 5–7% organic revenue growth for most of the 2018–2024 period, driven by Modelo Especial's market share gains. FY2026 marked a turning point: a 25% tariff on Mexican imports (announced April 2025) and measurable pullback among Hispanic consumers amid immigration enforcement created volume weakness — the first real deceleration in the Modelo story. Management withdrew its FY2028 growth guidance, guided comparable EPS down to $11.30–$11.60 (from $13.78 in FY2025), and deferred capex decisions on the Veracruz brewery expansion. FY2026 FCF was $1.79B; FY2027 guided $1.6–$1.7B.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2027: Comparable EPS ~$10.50–$12.00 (wide range reflecting tariff uncertainty); FCF ~$1.6–1.7B
  • FY2028 target (withdrawn): Management previously guided to $20+ comparable EPS by FY2028; guidance withdrawn April 2026 due to tariff and macro uncertainty
  • Wine divestitures: Expected to close in FY2026-FY2027; proceeds to reduce $11.5B debt load; $200M in annualized cost savings expected by FY2028
  • FIFA World Cup 2026: Scheduled for summer 2026 in U.S./Canada/Mexico — natural marketing event for beer brands; could catalyze consumption occasion recovery

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $STZ.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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