US Foods Holding Corp.

USFD
Financial Analysis · Updated May 28, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$9.6B
Q1 FY2026 · +2.8% YoY
TTM ROIC
9.6%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital (Total Debt + Equity - Cash) · WACC ~7.8% · Moat spread +1.8pp
Margin Profile
Gross 17.41%
Operating 3.04%
FCF 2.43%
FY2025
Net Debt
$5.3B
Cash $41M · Debt $5.4B · FY2025
Diluted Shares
230M
FY2025 · -5.7% (buyback)

Business Overview


ticker: USFD step: 01 title: Business Model & Overview source: coverage-next-full retrieved: 2026-05-28

Step 01 — Business Model & Overview

Executive Summary

US Foods is a broadline foodservice distributor — a logistics-and-merchandising business that buys food and non-food products from ~5,000 vendors, holds them in 70+ regional distribution centers, and delivers them via a 6,500-truck fleet to ~250,000 customer locations across the US [S1]. Revenue comes from product markup (case price) and value-added services. Customer mix skews to independent restaurants (the highest-margin channel), differentiating USFD from Sysco's mix and creating the company's strategic moat narrative.

What USFD Sells

~400,000 SKUs across:

  • Center-of-the-plate proteins: beef, pork, poultry, seafood (Stock Yards, Patuxent Farms exclusive brands)
  • Produce: Cross Valley Farms exclusive brand
  • Dairy: Glenview Farms
  • Center store / dry goods: branded + Rykoff Sexton / Chef's Line exclusive brands
  • Frozen: complete category
  • Non-food: paper goods, cleaning supplies, smallwares, equipment

Customer Channels (Mix Estimate)

Channel % Revenue (Est.) Margin Profile Notes
Independent restaurants ~55–60% Highest GM Strategic priority; 19 consecutive Q of share gains [S2]
Healthcare / Senior Living ~10–12% High GM Sticky, contracted
Hospitality (hotels) ~8–10% Med-High GM Cyclical with travel
Education (K-12 + higher ed) ~6–8% Low-Med GM Contracted, low service intensity
Government / Military ~3–5% Low GM Bid-driven
Chain restaurants ~10–15% Lowest GM National accounts; volume but margin headwind

Allocation is judgment-based — company does not disclose channel mix quarterly. Recent independent acceleration suggests mix-shift positive.

Value-Chain Layer Map

[5,000+ Suppliers]
    │  (Pricing, Promotions, Vendor allowances)
    ▼
[USFD: Procurement + Exclusive Brand Development]
    │  (Stock Yards, Chef's Line, Metro Deli, etc.)
    ▼
[70+ Distribution Centers]
    │  (Storage, picking, refrigeration)
    ▼
[6,500-Truck Fleet]
    │  (Route optimization, same-day/next-day)
    ▼
[Territory Manager + Chef Consultant + Digital (Moxe)]
    │  (Order capture, menu engineering, training)
    ▼
[250,000 Customer Locations]
    │
    ▼
[End consumer]

"Make-It-Yours" Model

USFD's signature go-to-market construct for independent operators [S3]:

  1. Territory Manager (TM): in-person account rep; ~2x weekly touch
  2. Restaurant Operations Consultants: helps with menu, marketing, finance
  3. Moxe digital platform: ordering, invoicing, inventory, analytics — full e-commerce stack
  4. MOXē menu engineering tools: pricing optimization, recipe costing
  5. Exclusive Brands: SKU portfolio with margin advantage + clean-label differentiation
  6. CHEF'STORE (90+ cash & carry): serves operators outside delivery footprint or for fill-ins

The model bundles physical distribution + advisory + tech in a way that's hard to replicate without scale. It's USFD's primary counter to Sysco's bulk-scale advantage.

Revenue Model Mechanics

  • Revenue recognition: at delivery (point-of-sale at customer site)
  • Pricing: cost-plus markup with vendor allowances + private brand margin uplift; food inflation generally passes through with ~1Q delay
  • Working capital: ~3–5 days inventory; ~25 days receivables; ~30 days payables — net working capital is mildly negative in growth
  • Operating leverage: incremental case volume on existing DCs/routes drops to ~12–15% incremental margin (mgmt-cited LRP economics) [Judgment]

How USFD Makes Money (P&L Architecture)

Layer FY25 % of Sales Comment
Net Sales 100.0% $39.4B
Cost of Goods Sold 82.6% Vendor cost + freight in
Gross Profit 17.4% +160bps over FY21 (15.8%)
Distribution & Selling ~10.5% Drivers, warehouse, TMs
G&A ~3.5% Corporate overhead
D&A ~0.4% Asset-light vs heavy industry
Operating Income 3.04% GAAP basis
Adj EBITDA Margin 4.9% Add-back: D&A, restructuring, SBC, etc.
Interest Expense ~1.0% $5.4B debt at ~5.5% blended
Tax ~0.4% ~25% effective
Net Income 1.71% $676M GAAP

Strategic Differentiation

  1. Independent restaurant focus: 55–60% mix vs Sysco's ~30% — higher GM lever
  2. Exclusive Brand penetration: ~30%+ private brand (industry-leading) [Judgment from 10-K language]
  3. Activist-driven discipline: post-Sachem-Head board demands ROIC focus
  4. Tech stack maturity: Moxe + MOXē are mature, mgmt-cited differentiators
  5. CHEF'STORE cash & carry network: serves long-tail of small operators

Source Index

  • [S1] US Foods 10-K FY2025 (Item 1 Business), filed 2026-02-12
  • [S2] US Foods Q4 2025 + Q1 2026 earnings releases (independent case growth disclosures)
  • [S3] usfoods.com investor materials + 10-K Item 1 "Our Strategy"
  • [S4] StockAnalysis.com financials (P&L breakdown)

Financial Snapshot


ticker: USFD step: 04 title: Financial Snapshot & Quality source: coverage-next-full retrieved: 2026-05-28

Step 04 — Financial Snapshot & Quality

Executive Summary

USFD's financial profile is investment-grade-equivalent fundamentals with junk-rated leverage — a classic LBO-derived public co. FY25 GAAP revenue $39.4B, Adj EBITDA $1.9B (4.9% margin), Adj EPS $3.98, FCF $959M. Adjusted-vs-GAAP gap is modest (~$700M of D&A + ~$80M SBC + ~$50M restructuring). Cash conversion FCF/NI = 1.42x (high quality). Working capital is well managed. No major red flags in adversarial sweep — no short reports, no SEC investigations, no major lawsuits. Watchpoints: high goodwill ($5.8B vs $4.3B equity), 22% unionized workforce, customer concentration (no >10% but top 5 ~12%).

GAAP vs Non-GAAP Reconciliation (FY25)

Item $M % of Sales
GAAP Net Income 676 1.71%
(+) Interest Expense ~400 1.0%
(+) Tax ~200 0.5%
(+) D&A 462 1.2%
EBITDA (GAAP-derived) ~1,738 4.4%
(+) SBC 83 0.2%
(+) Restructuring + Acquisition ~50 0.1%
(+) Other non-recurring ~29 0.1%
Adjusted EBITDA (mgmt) ~1,900 4.9%

Quality of Adjustments: most add-backs are real cash costs (SBC dilutes; restructuring recurs). Genuine adjustments are limited to true one-time M&A integration. Adj-vs-EBITDA gap = $162M = 8.5% of Adj EBITDA = moderate; acceptable but worth scrutinizing if it expands.

Cash Conversion Quality

Metric FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Net Income 121 228 499 494 676
OCF 419 765 1,140 1,174 1,369
OCF/NI 3.46x 3.36x 2.28x 2.38x 2.03x
FCF 145 500 831 833 959
FCF/NI 1.20x 2.19x 1.66x 1.69x 1.42x
FCF Margin 0.49% 1.47% 2.33% 2.20% 2.43%

Verdict: FCF/NI of 1.4x indicates non-cash earnings drags (D&A > CapEx). Cash earnings are higher than reported earnings — a sign of conservative GAAP earnings.

Working Capital Profile (FY25, $M)

  • Accounts Receivable: ~$2,700 (~25 DSO)
  • Inventory: ~$1,400 (~16 days)
  • Accounts Payable: ~$2,800 (~31 DPO)
  • Cash Conversion Cycle: ~10 days — efficient; floats payables to fund receivables

Customer Concentration

  • No single customer >10% of revenue [S1]
  • Top 5 chain customers estimated ~12% of revenue [Estimate]
  • Verdict: low concentration risk; healthcare and education contracts laddered

Supplier Concentration

  • Top 10 vendors ~25–30% of COGS [Estimate]
  • Largest are protein producers (Tyson, JBS, Smithfield) + CPG (Tyson, Conagra)
  • Multi-sourcing on most categories; Exclusive Brands give negotiating leverage

Off-Balance-Sheet Items

  • Operating leases (capitalized under ASC 842): ~$700M ROU asset [S2]
  • Multi-employer pension obligations: ongoing union DC mix; ~$50–80M annual contribution
  • No material guarantees, VIEs, or hidden obligations flagged in 10-K

Foreign Exchange / Tax Quality

  • FX: immaterial — US-only operations [S1]
  • Effective Tax Rate: ~25% (federal + state blended)
  • Cash taxes paid vs effective: roughly equal (no major book-tax timing diffs)

Goodwill & Intangibles (FY25)

  • Goodwill: $5,794M (~42% of total assets)
  • Intangibles (net): est. ~$1.5B (customer relationships, trade names)
  • Last impairment test: no impairment recorded
  • Watch: high goodwill is legacy of KKR/CD&R pre-IPO PP + 2017 SuperValu's Save-A-Lot integration + ongoing tuck-ins; risk of impairment in deep recession

Insurance & Litigation

  • Standard product liability + auto + workers' comp self-insurance program
  • No material outstanding litigation flagged in latest 10-K
  • Class action coverage: standard

ADVERSARIAL RESEARCH SWEEP

Short Reports
  • No active short-seller reports identified (Hindenburg, Muddy Waters, Kerrisdale, Citron, etc.) — none have published on USFD in 2024–2026 [S3]
  • Short interest: 3.79% of float — modest, no unusual squeeze setup
SEC Investigations / Enforcement
  • None disclosed in 10-K Item 3 (Legal Proceedings) [S1]
  • No 8-K notice of investigation in 2024–2026
Class Action Lawsuits
  • No material securities class actions flagged
  • Standard PI / employment litigation (driver claims, slip-and-fall) — managed via insurance
Whistleblower / Investigative Reporting
  • No major investigative journalism on accounting or governance issues identified
  • Standard restaurant industry coverage in Restaurant Business, Trucking Dive, MDM
Auditor / Auditor Changes
  • KPMG remains auditor (continuous since pre-IPO)
  • No auditor disputes / changes
  • No critical audit matter flags suggesting accounting concerns [S1]
Material Weakness / Restatements
  • No restatements in past 5+ years
  • No material weakness in ICFR disclosed
  • All quarterly + annual filings on time
Trade Press / Activist Critique
  • Sachem Head campaign (2022) — historical; resolved by board settlement + CEO change. Current activist position appears constructive, not adversarial
  • No other public activist letters or campaigns identified
Insider Behavior Red Flags
  • No unusual insider selling clusters
  • No 10b5-1 plan terminations
  • No SOX certification refusals or auditor resignations
Government Contracts / Subsidies
  • Government channel ~3–5% of revenue (military, federal, state); no material reliance on subsidies
  • No DOJ contract disputes identified
Customer / Supplier Disputes
  • No major public disputes with anchor suppliers
  • No major chain customer departures in 2024–2026 flagged
Cybersecurity Incidents
  • Risk factor in 10-K, but no disclosed material breach
  • No Form 8-K cyber incident notice in 2024–2026
Adversarial Sweep Verdict: CLEAN

No red flags requiring downward revision of base-case thesis. The Sachem Head legacy is constructive (governance discipline), not adversarial.

Financial Quality Score

Dimension Score (A–F) Comment
Earnings Quality (GAAP-cash gap) A- FCF > NI; modest adj add-backs
Cash Conversion A FCF/NI 1.4x; high quality
Working Capital Management A- ~10-day CCC; well managed
Balance Sheet Strength B+ High leverage offset by stable FCF; goodwill heavy
Off-Balance-Sheet Discipline A Minimal hidden obligations
Disclosure Quality A- Single-segment limits transparency, but MD&A is detailed
Adversarial Sweep A Clean
Composite A-

Source Index

  • [S1] US Foods 10-K FY2025 filed 2026-02-12
  • [S2] US Foods 10-Q FY2026 Q1 (leases note)
  • [S3] Web search for adversarial reports (Hindenburg, MW, etc.) — none found 2024–2026
  • [S4] StockAnalysis.com (FY21–FY25 P&L + CF)
  • [S5] SEC EDGAR submissions catalog (clean filing history)

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $USFD.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
GET /api/v1/research/USFD/fundamental$1.00 · Bearer token required
Markdown: /stocks/usfd/financials/md · → thesis · → memo