WEC Energy Group Inc.

WEC
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$3.4B
Q1 2026 · +7.9% YoY · Beat consensus by 17%
TTM ROIC
11%
FY2025 · Net Income / Total Equity (Earned ROE) · WACC ~7.5% · Moat spread +3pp
Margin Profile
Gross 64%
Operating 28%
FCF -10.4%
FY2025
Diluted Shares
324M
FY2025

Business Overview


ticker: WEC step: 01 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

WEC Energy Group Inc. (WEC) — Business Overview

Business Description

WEC Energy Group is a leading Midwestern regulated electric and natural gas utility holding company, headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Formed through the 2015 merger of Wisconsin Energy and Integrys Energy Group, WEC serves ~4.6 million customers across Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota under regulated utility subsidiaries. With a $28B+ five-year capital plan (2025–2029) — the largest in company history — WEC is in an accelerating investment cycle driven by data center load growth (Microsoft added 500MW), renewable energy transition, and grid modernization. The company has extended its dividend growth streak to 23 consecutive years.

Revenue Model

WEC generates revenue almost entirely from regulated electric and natural gas sales to residential, commercial, and industrial customers within its exclusive service territories. Revenue is set through regulatory rate cases with state public utility commissions (primarily Wisconsin PSC and Illinois ICC). Key revenue segments: (1) Wisconsin Utility Operations (~74% of revenue): We Energies and Wisconsin Public Service providing electric and gas service; includes industrial customers benefiting from AI data center load growth; (2) Illinois Gas Utility: Peoples Energy and North Shore Gas serving the Chicago metro; (3) Michigan and Minnesota Gas Utilities: Regulated gas distribution; (4) Non-Utility / Infrastructure: Minority-owned renewable energy and infrastructure investments including solar, wind, and battery storage through WEC Infrastructure.

Products & Services

  • Regulated Electric Service: Generation (coal baseload retirement + replacement renewables), transmission, and distribution in Wisconsin/Michigan
  • Regulated Natural Gas: Distribution to residential/commercial/industrial customers in 4 states
  • Renewable Generation: $9.1B+ in new solar, wind, and battery storage planned 2025–2029
  • WEC Infrastructure: Non-utility infrastructure investments in natural gas pipelines and renewable projects
  • Data Center Load Growth: Microsoft 500MW commitment + broader large industrial load growth (3.9 GW forecast over 5 years)

Customer Base & Go-to-Market

WEC serves approximately 4.6 million gas and electric customers across regulated service territories in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota. Revenue is highly predictable — rate cases set allowed returns and cost recovery. Industrial/large commercial customers represent a growing share of load due to data center expansion in Wisconsin. The company has no meaningful customer concentration risk in its regulated utility operations.

Competitive Position

WEC holds monopoly franchises in its regulated service territories — customers cannot switch providers. The competitive advantage is regulatory: WEC's constructive relationship with the Wisconsin PSC, which provides earned returns on rate base investment, creates a visible, low-risk earnings growth algorithm. Wisconsin's regulatory environment is considered among the most constructive in the Midwest for utilities. WEC's management team has delivered 23 consecutive years of dividend increases, building a reputation as one of the most reliable dividend compounders in the utility sector.

Key Facts

  • Founded: 1896 (corporate predecessor); WEC Energy formed 2015
  • Headquarters: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Employees: ~7,000
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Sector / Industry: Utilities / Electric Gas & Multi Utilities
  • Fiscal Year End: December 31
  • Market Cap: ~$30–35B

Financial Snapshot


ticker: WEC step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

WEC Energy Group Inc. (WEC) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue ~$9.60B $8.89B $8.60B -3.3%
Operating Margin ~22% ~20% ~21% flat
Net Income ~$1.42B ~$1.35B $1.50B +11%
GAAP EPS $4.45 $4.22 $4.83 +14%
Adjusted EPS $4.45 $4.63 $4.88 +5.4%

Revenue declines in 2023–2024 reflect lower natural gas commodity costs passed through to customers (not a profitability concern — margins are regulated). FY2025: Revenue $9.8B (+14%, reflecting higher energy costs + rate case outcomes); adjusted EPS $5.27 (+8%); 23rd consecutive year of dividend growth. Adjusted EPS is the key metric (excludes non-cash regulatory charges and one-time items); GAAP EPS can diverge due to ICC-related charges.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$2.5–2.8B
Capital Expenditures ~$4.5–5.0B (per year under $28B plan)
Free Cash Flow Negative (capex-intensive investment cycle)
Total Debt ~$14–16B
Equity ~$9–10B
Dividend $3.81/share annualized ($0.9525/quarter); +6.7% (2026 increase)

FCF is negative as the $28B five-year capex plan exceeds operating cash flow — funded via debt and periodic equity issuance. Regulated utilities routinely operate with negative FCF during capex cycles; rate base growth drives future earnings recovery.

Key Ratios (approximate, FY2025)

  • P/E (adjusted): ~22–25x | Dividend Yield: ~3.0–3.5% | EV/EBITDA: ~14–16x
  • Adjusted EPS Growth: +8% (FY2025); guided +7–8% CAGR through 2030
  • Rate Base CAGR: ~7.6% through 2029 | Revenue Growth (FY2025): +14%
  • Dividend Growth: 23 consecutive years; 6.5–7% annual increase target

Growth Profile

WEC's earnings growth algorithm is among the most visible in the utility sector: rate base grows ~7.6% annually from the $28B capex program → PSCW approves regulated returns (~10% on equity) → adjusted EPS grows 7–8% annually. The acceleration in the capital plan (raised from $23.7B to $28.9B as of January 2026) reflects confirmed large-load demand from data centers: Microsoft alone committed 500MW, adding $1B in incremental capital and implying more than $1B in additional annual revenues over time. Total large-load demand growth of 3.9 GW over five years is the most powerful organic growth catalyst for a Midwestern utility in decades.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Adjusted EPS $5.51–$5.61 (+5–7%); rate base growth continues
  • FY2027–2030: Adjusted EPS CAGR 7–8%; compounding on growing base
  • Dividend: 6.5–7% annual increases; current $3.81/share targeting ~$5.00+ by 2028
  • Equity Issuance: $3B equity plan announced to fund the expanded capex program — modest dilution headwind

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $WEC.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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