WEC Energy Group Inc.

WEC
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$3.4B
Q1 2026 · +7.9% YoY
TTM ROIC
11%
FY2025 · Net Income / Total Equity (Earned ROE) · WACC ~7.5% · Moat spread +3.5pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: WEC step: 04 generated: 2026-05-12 source: quick-research

WEC Energy Group Inc. (WEC) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue ~$9.60B $8.89B $8.60B -3.3%
Operating Margin ~22% ~20% ~21% flat
Net Income ~$1.42B ~$1.35B $1.50B +11%
GAAP EPS $4.45 $4.22 $4.83 +14%
Adjusted EPS $4.45 $4.63 $4.88 +5.4%

Revenue declines in 2023–2024 reflect lower natural gas commodity costs passed through to customers (not a profitability concern — margins are regulated). FY2025: Revenue $9.8B (+14%, reflecting higher energy costs + rate case outcomes); adjusted EPS $5.27 (+8%); 23rd consecutive year of dividend growth. Adjusted EPS is the key metric (excludes non-cash regulatory charges and one-time items); GAAP EPS can diverge due to ICC-related charges.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2025)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$2.5–2.8B
Capital Expenditures ~$4.5–5.0B (per year under $28B plan)
Free Cash Flow Negative (capex-intensive investment cycle)
Total Debt ~$14–16B
Equity ~$9–10B
Dividend $3.81/share annualized ($0.9525/quarter); +6.7% (2026 increase)

FCF is negative as the $28B five-year capex plan exceeds operating cash flow — funded via debt and periodic equity issuance. Regulated utilities routinely operate with negative FCF during capex cycles; rate base growth drives future earnings recovery.

Key Ratios (approximate, FY2025)

  • P/E (adjusted): ~22–25x | Dividend Yield: ~3.0–3.5% | EV/EBITDA: ~14–16x
  • Adjusted EPS Growth: +8% (FY2025); guided +7–8% CAGR through 2030
  • Rate Base CAGR: ~7.6% through 2029 | Revenue Growth (FY2025): +14%
  • Dividend Growth: 23 consecutive years; 6.5–7% annual increase target

Growth Profile

WEC's earnings growth algorithm is among the most visible in the utility sector: rate base grows ~7.6% annually from the $28B capex program → PSCW approves regulated returns (~10% on equity) → adjusted EPS grows 7–8% annually. The acceleration in the capital plan (raised from $23.7B to $28.9B as of January 2026) reflects confirmed large-load demand from data centers: Microsoft alone committed 500MW, adding $1B in incremental capital and implying more than $1B in additional annual revenues over time. Total large-load demand growth of 3.9 GW over five years is the most powerful organic growth catalyst for a Midwestern utility in decades.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026: Adjusted EPS $5.51–$5.61 (+5–7%); rate base growth continues
  • FY2027–2030: Adjusted EPS CAGR 7–8%; compounding on growing base
  • Dividend: 6.5–7% annual increases; current $3.81/share targeting ~$5.00+ by 2028
  • Equity Issuance: $3B equity plan announced to fund the expanded capex program — modest dilution headwind

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $WEC.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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