Weyerhaeuser Company

WY
Financial Analysis · Updated May 13, 2026 · Coverage 2026-Q2
Latest Q Revenue
$1.7B
Q1 2026
TTM ROIC
3.8%
FY2025 · NOPAT / Invested Capital; NOPAT = EBIT × (1 – 21% tax rate); Invested Capital = ~$5.6B debt + ~$9.4B equity – ~$1B cash ≈ $14B · WACC ~7% · Moat spread +-3.2pp

Financial Snapshot


ticker: WY step: 04 generated: 2026-05-13 source: quick-research

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) — Financial Snapshot

Income Statement Summary

Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 YoY
Revenue $10.18B $7.67B $7.12B -7.2%
Gross Margin ~28% ~18% ~14%
Operating Margin ~22% ~10% ~5%
Net Income ~$1.8B ~$840M ~$380M -55%
EPS (diluted) ~$2.53 ~$1.15 ~$0.54 -53%

FY2022 was a peak earnings year driven by pandemic-era housing boom and lumber prices reaching record highs (~$1,400/MBF). FY2023–FY2024 reflect normalization to sub-$400/MBF lumber prices and sharply lower OSB prices, compressing Wood Products margins to near-zero or negative EBITDA territory. Timberlands segment EBITDA has been more stable.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet (FY2024)

Metric Value
Operating Cash Flow ~$700M
Free Cash Flow ~$350M
Capital Expenditures ~$350M
Cash & Equivalents ~$1.0B
Total Debt ~$5.3B

Net Debt/EBITDA elevated at ~4.8x at end of FY2025 due to earnings compression; target <3x at cycle midpoint. Dividend paid from operating cash flow; base dividend $0.21/quarter ($0.84/year annual) with potential supplemental dividends when FCF exceeds needs.

Key Ratios (approximate)

  • P/E: ~35–40x (based on trough EPS) | EV/EBITDA: ~15–18x (trough) | Dividend Yield: ~3.8%
  • Revenue Growth (FY2024): -7.2% | FCF Margin: ~5% (trough)
  • Timberland NAV (per share estimate): ~$35–$39/share — provides valuation floor
  • Natural Climate Solutions: $119M adjusted EBITDA in 2025 (+42% YoY)

Growth Profile

Weyerhaeuser's financials are deeply cyclical, tied to U.S. housing starts and commodity lumber/OSB prices. FY2022 was a pandemic-era peak (lumber ~$1,400/MBF); FY2023–FY2024 saw normalization to $350–$450/MBF lumber, compressing Wood Products EBITDA to near-zero and back-to-back EBITDA losses in lumber and OSB at cycle troughs. The Timberlands segment (logging) provides more stable cash flows tied to harvest volumes, while Natural Climate Solutions is the fastest-growing segment ($119M in 2025, targeting material contribution to the $1.5B incremental EBITDA goal by 2030). U.S. softwood lumber tariffs on Canadian imports (~25%) provide some domestic pricing support.

Forward Estimates

  • FY2026 Housing Dependency: Each 100,000-unit increase in U.S. housing starts ~adds $150–200M in Wood Products EBITDA
  • FY2030 Target: $1.5B incremental adjusted EBITDA vs. 2024 baseline (from Real Estate, Natural Climate Solutions, and operational improvements)
  • Analyst consensus: Buy majority; average price target ~$29.78 (~34% upside from depressed trough levels)
  • Dividend: $0.84/share base annual ($0.21/quarter); supplemental dividends paid from excess FCF at cycle peaks

Deeper Financial Analysis

The fundamental tier adds 9 additional research dimensions for $WY.

Revenue Breakdown
Segment revenue, geographic mix, product-line contribution margins, and cohort dynamics.
Financial Trends
Quarter-over-quarter momentum, leading indicators, and inflection point analysis.
Balance Sheet
Debt structure, liquidity runway, dilution risk, and working capital dynamics.
Capital Allocation
Buyback cadence, M&A appetite, dividend policy, and reinvestment priorities.
Returns on Capital (ROIC)
Multi-year ROIC vs. WACC, marginal returns on reinvestment, sales-to-invested-capital efficiency, and moat spread.
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Markdown: /stocks/wy/financials/md · → thesis · → memo